Live prediction market odds for Lyon vs. Real Sociedad. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Traders give Real Sociedad about a 51.0% chance. Lyon follows at 36.0% and Draw follows at 31.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Traders give Real Sociedad about a 51.0% chance. Lyon follows at 36.0% and Draw follows at 31.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Lyon vs. Real Sociedad: UEFA Europa League game scheduled for 2026-11-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketReal Sociedad
51.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Real Sociedad wins the Real Sociedad vs Lyon professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Real Sociedad vs Lyon professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for November 5, 2026 If Real Sociedad de Fútbol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Real Sociedad: 51.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.0¢ on Polymarket; Lyon: 36.0¢ on Kalshi, 36.0¢ on Polymarket; Draw: 31.0¢ on Kalshi, 31.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Real Sociedad at 51.0¢ implies about a 51.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
