Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Pro viewNew
Every venue, one board

Moneyline, spread, total and props, with the best price per side.

Open Pro view
Odds
SportsNFLNCAAFMLBCrypto
TennisElectionsPoliticsEconomicsEntertainmentAll Markets
Futures
NFLNCAAFMLBMidtermsNew
2028 PresidentialTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo CodeNovig Promo CodeProphetX Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Live odds across every major platform
  • Find the best price instantly
  • Spot live arbitrage opportunities
  • See where profitable traders are betting
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Live odds across every major platform
  • Find the best price instantly
  • Spot live arbitrage opportunities
  • See where profitable traders are betting
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • NBA Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • 2026 MidtermsNew
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitrageMidtermsPromos

Live prediction market odds for Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Game starts Oct 24, 2026 · Listed Oct 13, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Aaron Pico57¢1.75xKalshiLosene Keita43¢2.33xNovig
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Matej Sabanov vs. Geoffrey Blancaneaux

View

Ivan Biletic vs. Marko Nikolic

View

LA Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

View

Ashlyn Krueger vs. Talia Gibson

View

Federica Sacco vs. Ioana Stefania Boian

Resolved Oct 22

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Aaron Pico about a 56.8% chance. Losene Keita follows at 43.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Traders give Aaron Pico about a 56.8% chance. Losene Keita follows at 43.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
LK
Losene Keita
43%
Kalshi44¢
Polymarket US43¢
Novig43¢
Polymarket44¢
ProphetX46¢
Novig2.35x43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
43.5%43¢44¢56¢57¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
42.5%42¢43¢57¢58¢
NovigNovig
42.3%42¢43¢58¢58¢
PolymarketPolymarket
43.5%43¢44¢56¢57¢
ProphetXProphetX
44.0%42¢46¢54¢58¢
AP
Aaron Pico
57%
Kalshi57¢
Polymarket US58¢
Novig58¢
Polymarket57¢
ProphetX58¢
Kalshi1.75x57¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
56.5%56¢57¢43¢44¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
57.5%57¢58¢42¢43¢
NovigNovig
57.8%58¢58¢42¢43¢
PolymarketPolymarket
56.5%56¢57¢43¢44¢
ProphetXProphetX
56.0%54¢58¢42¢46¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue48%
—
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
48.0%6¢48¢52¢94¢
KT
Keita to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue74%
—
Polymarket74¢
Polymarket1.35x74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
74.0%63¢74¢26¢37¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue47%
—
Polymarket51¢
Polymarket1.96x51¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
46.5%42¢51¢49¢58¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue54%
—
Polymarket58¢
Polymarket1.72x58¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
53.5%49¢58¢42¢51¢
PT
Pico to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue48%
—
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
48.0%23¢48¢52¢77¢
PT
Pico to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue77%
—
Polymarket77¢
Polymarket1.30x77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
77.0%52¢77¢23¢48¢
KT
Keita to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue37%
—
Polymarket37¢
Polymarket2.70x37¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
37.0%26¢37¢63¢74¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue69%
—
Polymarket69¢
Polymarket1.45x69¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
69.0%50¢69¢31¢50¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue50%
—
Polymarket50¢
Polymarket2.00x50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%31¢50¢50¢69¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue94%
—
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%52¢94¢6¢48¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
—
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
LK
Losene Keita by Decision
single venue13%
Kalshi13¢
—
Kalshi7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
12.5%12¢13¢87¢88¢
LK
Losene Keita by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue29%
Kalshi30¢
—
Kalshi3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
29.0%28¢30¢70¢72¢
LK
Losene Keita by Submission
single venue3%
Kalshi3¢
—
Kalshi33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
AP
Aaron Pico by Decision
single venue22%
Kalshi22¢
—
Kalshi4.55x22¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
21.5%21¢22¢78¢79¢
AP
Aaron Pico by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue27%
Kalshi28¢
—
Kalshi3.57x28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
26.5%25¢28¢72¢75¢
AP
Aaron Pico by Submission
single venue8%
Kalshi9¢
—
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%7¢9¢91¢93¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
LK
Losene Keita to win in Round 1
single venue16%
Kalshi18¢
Kalshi5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%13¢18¢82¢87¢
LK
Losene Keita to win in Round 2
single venue9%
Kalshi11¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%7¢11¢89¢93¢
LK
Losene Keita to win in Round 3
single venue10%
Kalshi11¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.5%8¢11¢89¢92¢
AP
Aaron Pico to win in Round 1
single venue15%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%14¢16¢84¢86¢
AP
Aaron Pico to win in Round 2
single venue9%
Kalshi12¢
Kalshi8.33x12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%6¢12¢88¢94¢
AP
Aaron Pico to win in Round 3
single venue7%
Kalshi9¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%5¢9¢91¢95¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

$675 VolBest price
Over 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket50¢
Polymarket2.00x50¢
Under 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket63¢
Polymarket1.59x63¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket35¢
NOPolymarket66¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.8%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Volume$190K
Leader

Aaron Pico

56.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Losene Keita wins the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Losene Keita in Losene Keita @ Aaron Pico (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Aaron Pico" if Aaron Pico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Losene Keita" if Losene Keita is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita odds?

The latest available prices are Aaron Pico: 56.5¢ on Kalshi, 56.5¢ on Polymarket, 56.0¢ on ProphetX, 57.5¢ on Polymarket US, 57.8¢ on Novig; Losene Keita: 43.5¢ on Kalshi, 43.5¢ on Polymarket, 44.0¢ on ProphetX, 42.5¢ on Polymarket US, 42.3¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita prediction market payouts work?

For example, Aaron Pico at 56.8¢ implies about a 56.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Smart Money Lean · Last 24h
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Losene Keita

Smart Money Consensus$1.1K
$1.1KLosene Keita
Smart Traders Split2
2Losene Keita
NovigBuy Yes at 43¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Losene KeitaBought $1.1K · 2 wallets

Net flow from wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit. Buying No or selling Yes counts toward No.

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $182K lifetime bought $814 of Losene Keita at 44¢

15h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $13.5K lifetime bought $1.2K of Aaron Pico at 56¢

1d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $182K lifetime bought $990 of Losene Keita at 45¢

1d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $227K lifetime bought $5.1K of Aaron Pico at 53¢

2d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)Trade on Polymarket US →