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Live prediction market odds for Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van

2026-09-20

Best price · tap to trade

Joshua Van59¢1.69xKalshiAlexandre Pantoja42¢2.38xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Joshua Van about a 58.3% chance. Alexandre Pantoja follows at 41.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Traders give Joshua Van about a 58.3% chance. Alexandre Pantoja follows at 41.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-09-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JV
Joshua Van
58%
Kalshi59¢
Polymarket58¢
Kalshi1.71x59¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
58.0%57¢59¢41¢43¢
PolymarketPolymarket
57.0%56¢58¢42¢44¢
AP
Alexandre Pantoja
41%
Kalshi42¢
Polymarket42¢
Kalshi2.41x42¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
41.0%40¢42¢58¢60¢
PolymarketPolymarket
41.0%40¢42¢58¢60¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
Joshua Van by KO/TKO/DQNo
Alexandre Pantoja by SubmissionNo
Joshua Van by DecisionYes
Alexandre Pantoja by DecisionNo
Alexandre Pantoja by KO/TKO/DQNo
Joshua Van by SubmissionNo
Draw/No ContestNo
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue100%
Polymarket100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
100.0%99¢100¢0¢1¢
PT
Pantoja to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue92%
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
92.0%91¢93¢7¢9¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue69%
Polymarket70¢
Polymarket1.43x70¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
69.0%68¢70¢30¢32¢
VT
Van to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue62%
Polymarket63¢
Polymarket1.59x63¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
62.0%61¢63¢37¢39¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue55%
Polymarket56¢
Polymarket1.79x56¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
55.0%54¢56¢44¢46¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue43%
Polymarket44¢
Polymarket2.27x44¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
43.0%42¢44¢56¢58¢
VT
Van to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue36%
Polymarket37¢
Polymarket2.70x37¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
36.0%35¢37¢63¢65¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue29%
Polymarket30¢
Polymarket3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
29.0%28¢30¢70¢72¢
PT
Pantoja to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue6%
Polymarket7¢
Polymarket14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue1%
Polymarket1¢
Polymarket100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

Decision / Draw / No ContestYes
Joshua Van to win in Round 1No
Joshua Van to win in Round 3No
Alexandre Pantoja to win in Round 1No
Alexandre Pantoja to win in Round 2No
Joshua Van to win in Round 2No
Joshua Van to win in Round 4No
Alexandre Pantoja to win in Round 3No
Joshua Van to win in Round 5No
Alexandre Pantoja to win in Round 4No
Alexandre Pantoja to win in Round 5No

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 3.5 Rounds
Polymarket54¢
Polymarket1.85x54¢
Under 3.5 Rounds
Polymarket46¢
Polymarket2.17x46¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket40¢
NOPolymarket60¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Joshua Van

58.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alexandre Pantoja wins the van vs Pantoja professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the van vs Pantoja professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Alexandre Pantoja" if Alexandre Pantoja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Joshua Van" if Joshua Van is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van odds?

The latest available prices are Joshua Van: 58.5¢ on Kalshi, 58.0¢ on Polymarket; Alexandre Pantoja: 41.5¢ on Kalshi, 42.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van prediction market payouts work?

For example, Joshua Van at 58.3¢ implies about a 58.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.