Traders give Georgia about a 15.0% chance. Notre Dame follows at 13.0%, Ohio St follows at 12.6%, and LSU follows at 5.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 94.6 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: College Football National Championship Winner
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Ohio St. wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the College Football National Championship Winner prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest College Football National Championship Winner odds?
The latest available prices are Georgia: 15.0¢ on Kalshi, 50.0¢ on Predict.fun; Notre Dame: 13.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.8¢ on Predict.fun; Ohio St: 12.0¢ on Kalshi, 13.2¢ on Predict.fun; LSU: 6.5¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Why do College Football National Championship Winner odds vary across prediction markets?
The largest price difference shown across venues is 94.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
How do College Football National Championship Winner prediction market payouts work?
For example, Georgia at 15.0¢ implies about a 15.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.