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Live prediction market odds for Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes

Game starts Oct 24, 2026 · Listed Oct 13, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Azamat Murzakanov65¢1.54xNovigDominick Reyes35¢2.86xKalshi
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Oct 22

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Azamat Murzakanov about a 65.5% chance. Dominick Reyes follows at 34.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Traders give Azamat Murzakanov about a 65.5% chance. Dominick Reyes follows at 34.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
DR
Dominick Reyes
35%
Kalshi35¢
Polymarket US35¢
Novig36¢
Polymarket35¢
ProphetX36¢
Kalshi2.86x35¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
34.5%34¢35¢65¢66¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
34.5%34¢35¢65¢66¢
NovigNovig
35.3%35¢36¢65¢65¢
PolymarketPolymarket
34.5%34¢35¢65¢66¢
ProphetXProphetX
34.6%33¢36¢64¢67¢
AM
Azamat Murzakanov
66%
Kalshi67¢
Polymarket US66¢
Novig65¢
Polymarket66¢
ProphetX67¢
Novig1.54x65¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
66.5%66¢67¢33¢34¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
65.5%65¢66¢34¢35¢
NovigNovig
64.8%65¢65¢35¢36¢
PolymarketPolymarket
65.5%65¢66¢34¢35¢
ProphetXProphetX
65.4%64¢67¢33¢36¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MT
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue50%
—
Polymarket54¢
Polymarket1.85x54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%46¢54¢46¢54¢
MT
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue50%
—
Polymarket54¢
Polymarket1.85x54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%46¢54¢46¢54¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue48%
—
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
48.0%3¢48¢52¢97¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue83%
—
Polymarket83¢
Polymarket1.20x83¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
83.0%50¢83¢17¢50¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%52¢97¢3¢48¢
RT
Reyes to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue48%
—
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
48.0%17¢48¢52¢83¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue69%
—
Polymarket74¢
Polymarket1.35x74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
69.0%64¢74¢26¢36¢
RT
Reyes to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue83%
—
Polymarket83¢
Polymarket1.20x83¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
83.0%52¢83¢17¢48¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue50%
—
Polymarket50¢
Polymarket2.00x50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%17¢50¢50¢83¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue31%
—
Polymarket36¢
Polymarket2.78x36¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
31.0%26¢36¢64¢74¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
—
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
AM
Azamat Murzakanov by Decision
single venue13%
Kalshi13¢
—
Kalshi7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
12.5%12¢13¢87¢88¢
AM
Azamat Murzakanov by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue53%
Kalshi53¢
—
Kalshi1.89x53¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
52.5%52¢53¢47¢48¢
AM
Azamat Murzakanov by Submission
single venue3%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢
DR
Dominick Reyes by Decision
single venue9%
Kalshi10¢
—
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
DR
Dominick Reyes by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue22%
Kalshi23¢
—
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
21.5%20¢23¢77¢80¢
DR
Dominick Reyes by Submission
single venue3%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
AM
Azamat Murzakanov to win in Round 1
single venue35%
Kalshi37¢
Kalshi2.70x37¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
34.5%32¢37¢63¢68¢
AM
Azamat Murzakanov to win in Round 2
single venue14%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.0%12¢16¢84¢88¢
AM
Azamat Murzakanov to win in Round 3
single venue8%
Kalshi10¢
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%6¢10¢90¢94¢
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue23%
Kalshi23¢
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.0%5¢23¢77¢95¢
DR
Dominick Reyes to win in Round 1
single venue13%
Kalshi15¢
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
13.0%11¢15¢85¢89¢
DR
Dominick Reyes to win in Round 2
single venue8%
Kalshi10¢
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%5¢10¢90¢95¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket47¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
Under 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket53¢
Polymarket1.85x54¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket24¢
NOPolymarket77¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.8%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Volume$95K
Leader

Azamat Murzakanov

65.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Dominick Reyes wins the Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Dominick Reyes in Azamat Murzakanov @ Dominick Reyes (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Azamat Murzakanov" if Azamat Murzakanov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dominick Reyes at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Dominick Reyes" if Dominick Reyes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes odds?

The latest available prices are Azamat Murzakanov: 66.5¢ on Kalshi, 65.5¢ on Polymarket, 65.4¢ on ProphetX, 65.5¢ on Polymarket US, 64.8¢ on Novig; Dominick Reyes: 34.5¢ on Kalshi, 34.5¢ on Polymarket, 34.6¢ on ProphetX, 34.5¢ on Polymarket US, 35.3¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes prediction market payouts work?

For example, Azamat Murzakanov at 65.5¢ implies about a 65.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.