Live prediction market odds for Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura. Compare prices across Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-09-26
This market resolved on 2026-09-26. Brady Hiestand was the officially declared outcome.
Brady Hiestand vs.
Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura: UFC fight held on 2026-09-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Fight won by decision: No | 94% |
Hiestand to win by KO/TKO: No | 82% |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | 56% |
Nakamura to win by KO/TKO: No | 51% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | 46% |
Fight won by submission: No | 1% |
Brady HiestandWINNER | — |
Brady Hiestand by Decision | — |
Brady Hiestand by KO/TKO/DQ | — |
Brady Hiestand by Submission | — |
Brady Hiestand to win in Round 1 | — |
Brady Hiestand to win in Round 2 | — |
Brady Hiestand to win in Round 3 | — |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | — |
Draw/No Contest | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — |
Fight won by decision: Yes | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — |
Fight won by submission: Yes | — |
Hiestand to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — |
Nakamura to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — |
Rinya Nakamura | — |
Rinya Nakamura by Decision | — |
Rinya Nakamura by KO/TKO/DQ | — |
Rinya Nakamura by Submission | — |
Rinya Nakamura to win in Round 1 | — |
Rinya Nakamura to win in Round 2 | — |
Rinya Nakamura to win in Round 3 | — |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — |
Brady Hiestand
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Rinya Nakamura wins the Hiestand vs Nakamura professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Hiestand vs Nakamura professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigRinya Nakamura in Rinya Nakamura @ Brady Hiestand (UFC); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Brady Hiestand" if Brady Hiestand is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rinya Nakamura at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Rinya Nakamura" if Rinya Nakamura is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura UFC fight scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.
