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Live prediction market odds for Liga MX Apertura Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Liga MX Apertura Champion

2026-12-13

Best price · tap to trade

Toluca24¢4.17xKalshiGuadalajara21¢4.76xKalshiAmérica20¢5.00xKalshi
Compare all 17 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Toluca about a 23.3% chance. Guadalajara follows at 17.5%, América follows at 17.0%, and Cruz Azul follows at 14.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Traders give Toluca about a 23.3% chance. Guadalajara follows at 17.5%, América follows at 17.0%, and Cruz Azul follows at 14.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Liga MX Apertura Champion event. This championship is crucial as it determines the top team in Mexico's premier football league, influencing fan engagement and team funding for the following season.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
T
Toluca
23%
Kalshi24¢
Polymarket24¢
Kalshi4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.0%23¢24¢76¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.5%24¢24¢76¢77¢
G
Guadalajara
18%
Kalshi21¢
Polymarket19¢
Kalshi4.76x21¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.0%17¢21¢79¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
18.0%18¢19¢81¢82¢
A
América
17%
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket20¢
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.0%17¢20¢80¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
17.0%17¢20¢80¢83¢
CA
Cruz Azul
15%
Kalshi14¢
Polymarket16¢
Kalshi7.14x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket
15.0%14¢16¢84¢86¢
M
Monterrey
6%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket8¢
Kalshi20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.3%5¢8¢92¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms2
Candidates17
Leader

Toluca

23.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Liga MX Apertura Champion

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If America is the 2026-27 Liga MX Apertura champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Liga MX Apertura Champion?

Odds are influenced by team performance throughout the season, player injuries, and historical matchups. Additionally, fan sentiment and betting patterns can shift the market.

When does the Liga MX Apertura Champion event take place?

The Liga MX Apertura Champion is set to be determined on December 13, 2026. This date marks the culmination of the Apertura tournament, showcasing the top teams.

How do prediction markets reflect the likelihood of a team winning?

Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their collective expectations of outcomes. As new information emerges, such as match results or player transfers, the odds can change rapidly.

What does the Liga MX Apertura Champion prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Liga MX Apertura Champion odds?

The latest available prices are Toluca: 23.0¢ on Kalshi, 23.5¢ on Polymarket; Guadalajara: 17.0¢ on Kalshi, 18.0¢ on Polymarket; América: 17.0¢ on Kalshi, 17.0¢ on Polymarket; Cruz Azul: 14.0¢ on Kalshi, 15.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Toluca's Apertura Title Odds Hit 24% After Leagues Cup WinToluca's Liga MX Apertura title probability rose 10 points to 24% in three days, driven by their Leagues Cup final win over Monterrey and the $13.5M signing of Federico Viñas.Sep 13, 2026América's Apertura 2026 Title Odds Fall to 15% After Almada RebuildA 10-point drop in three days follows a fourth-place Leagues Cup finish behind Toluca, Monterrey, and León, plus midseason roster overhaul.Sep 10, 2026Toluca's Liga MX Apertura 2026 Title Odds Double on Viñas SigningToluca's implied probability jumped from 9% to 18% in three days, with a $13.5M striker signing and coaching continuity under Mohamed driving the move.Sep 7, 2026León's Liga MX Apertura 2026 Title Odds Triple to 14% on Two WinsLeón beat Pachuca 1-0 on opening day and crushed Real Salt Lake 3-0 in the Leagues Cup, pushing their Apertura title probability from 4% to 14%.Sep 4, 2026