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Live prediction market odds for Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta

2026-09-12

Best price · tap to trade

Waldo Cortes Acosta1¢100.00xKalshiCurtis Blaydes35¢2.86xPolymarket US
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Waldo Cortes Acosta about a 38.3% chance. Curtis Blaydes follows at 61.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 64.9 percentage points.

Traders give Waldo Cortes Acosta about a 38.3% chance. Curtis Blaydes follows at 61.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 64.9 percentage points.

Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-09-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
CB
Curtis BlaydesARB
61%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US35¢
Novig38¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX38¢
Polymarket US2.86x35¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
34.0%33¢35¢65¢67¢
NovigNovig
37.0%36¢38¢62¢64¢
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
ProphetXProphetX
37.0%36¢38¢62¢64¢
WC
Waldo Cortes AcostaARB
47%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US65¢
Novig62¢
—
ProphetX64¢
Kalshi200.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
64.0%63¢65¢35¢37¢
NovigNovig
61.0%60¢62¢38¢40¢
ProphetXProphetX
63.0%62¢64¢36¢38¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
Curtis Blaydes by DecisionYes
Waldo Cortes-Acosta by DecisionNo
Draw/No ContestNo
Curtis Blaydes by KO/TKO/DQNo
Waldo Cortes-Acosta by KO/TKO/DQNo
Curtis Blaydes by SubmissionNo
Waldo Cortes-Acosta by SubmissionNo
BT
Blaydes to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue83%
Polymarket84¢
Polymarket1.19x84¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
83.0%82¢84¢16¢18¢
CA
Cortes Acosta to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue64%
Polymarket65¢
Polymarket1.54x65¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
64.0%63¢65¢35¢37¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue55%
Polymarket56¢
Polymarket1.79x56¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
55.0%54¢56¢44¢46¢
Fight won by KO/TKO: YesNo
Cortes Acosta to win by KO/TKO: YesNo
Fight won by submission: YesNo
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue2%
Polymarket3¢
Polymarket33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
2.0%1¢3¢97¢99¢
Blaydes to win by KO/TKO: YesNo
PolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

Decision / Draw / No ContestYes
Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win in Round 1No
Curtis Blaydes to win in Round 2No
Curtis Blaydes to win in Round 3No
Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win in Round 2No
Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win in Round 3No
Curtis Blaydes to win in Round 1No

Total Rounds

Over 1.5 RoundsYes
Under 1.5 RoundsNo

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YES-
NOPolymarket100¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread64.9%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Waldo Cortes Acosta

38.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins the Cortes-Acosta vs Blaydes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cortes-Acosta vs Blaydes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Waldo Cortes Acosta in Waldo Cortes-Acosta @ Curtis Blaydes (UFC); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Curtis Blaydes" if Curtis Blaydes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Waldo Cortes Acosta at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Waldo Cortes Acosta" if Waldo Cortes Acosta is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes UFC fight scheduled for September 12 at 2:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta odds?

The latest available prices are Waldo Cortes Acosta: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 63.7¢ on ProphetX, 65.0¢ on Polymarket US, 62.0¢ on Novig; Curtis Blaydes: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 37.5¢ on ProphetX, 35.0¢ on Polymarket US, 38.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 64.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta prediction market payouts work?

For example, Waldo Cortes Acosta at 38.3¢ implies about a 38.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.