Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Carlos Ulberg about a 96.3% chance. Magomed Ankalaev follows at 2.2%, Jamahal Hill follows at 1.1%, and Volkan Oezdemir follows at 1.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alex Pereira is the UFC Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Odds are influenced by fighter performance, injury reports, and upcoming match results. Additionally, changes in training camps and fight strategies can affect perceptions of a fighter's chances.
Odds can change frequently, especially after major fights or announcements related to the fighters. Real-time updates reflect shifts in public sentiment and expert analysis.
The championship represents the pinnacle of achievement in the Light Heavyweight division, impacting fighters' careers and legacies. It also draws significant fan interest and media attention, influencing betting markets.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Carlos Ulberg: 96.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket; Magomed Ankalaev: 3.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.4¢ on Polymarket; Jamahal Hill: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.2¢ on Polymarket; Volkan Oezdemir: 1.2¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
