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Live prediction market odds for Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Carlos Ulberg93¢1.08xKalshiMagomed Ankalaev6¢16.67xKalshiAlex Pereira2¢50.00xKalshi
Compare all 8 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Carlos Ulberg about a 90.3% chance. Magomed Ankalaev follows at 5.3%, Alex Pereira follows at 2.2%, and Khalil Rountree Jr follows at 0.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.4 percentage points.

Traders give Carlos Ulberg about a 90.3% chance. Magomed Ankalaev follows at 5.3%, Alex Pereira follows at 2.2%, and Khalil Rountree Jr follows at 0.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.4 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking who will be the UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026. Factors such as fighter performance, injuries, and match outcomes will influence the odds as the championship landscape evolves over the next few years.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CU
Carlos Ulberg
90%
Kalshi93¢
Polymarket91¢
Kalshi1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
90.0%90¢93¢7¢10¢
PolymarketPolymarket
90.5%90¢91¢9¢10¢
MA
Magomed Ankalaev
5%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.6%3¢6¢94¢97¢
AP
Alex Pereira
2%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket3¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
KR
Khalil Rountree Jr
1%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.8%0¢1¢99¢100¢
JP
Jiří Procházka
1%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.7%0¢1¢99¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Carlos Ulberg

Carlos Ulberg is a New Zealand professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Light Heavyweight division. He is scheduled to fight Jiří Procházka for the vacant UFC Light Heavyweight Championship at UFC 327 on April 11, 2026. Ulberg's upcoming title fight is highly relevant to the prediction market for the UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026.

About Magomed Ankalaev

Magomed Ankalaev is a Russian professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's light heavyweight division. He became the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on March 8, 2025, by defeating Alex Pereira at UFC 313. Ankalaev is relevant to this prediction market as the current champion aiming to defend his title through 2026.

About Alex Pereira

Alex Pereira is a Brazilian professional mixed martial artist and former kickboxer, currently competing in the UFC's Light Heavyweight division. He became the first fighter in UFC history to hold titles in both the Middleweight and Light Heavyweight divisions, achieving this in a record seven fights. His prominence in the sport makes him a central figure in discussions about the future of the UFC Light Heavyweight Championship.

About Khalil Rountree Jr

Khalil Rountree Jr. is an American professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Light Heavyweight division. He has a professional MMA record of 14 wins and 7 losses, with 9 of those wins by knockout. As of March 17, 2026, he is ranked #4 in the UFC Light Heavyweight division.

About Jiří Procházka

Jiří Procházka is a Czech professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Light Heavyweight division. He became the first Czech UFC champion by defeating Glover Teixeira in 2022. Procházka is scheduled to fight Carlos Ulberg for the vacant light heavyweight championship on April 11, 2026, at UFC 327.

About Azamat Murzakanov

Azamat Murzakanov is a Russian professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Light Heavyweight division. He is currently ranked #6 in the UFC light heavyweight rankings as of December 9, 2025. Murzakanov is scheduled to face Paulo Costa on April 11, 2026, at UFC 327.

About Jamahal Hill

Jamahal Hill is a professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Light Heavyweight division. He won the UFC Light Heavyweight Championship in January 2023 by defeating Glover Teixeira at UFC 283. Hill is relevant to this prediction market as a former champion aiming to reclaim the title after his Achilles injury in 2023.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracleufc.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.4%
Platforms2
Candidates8
Leader

Carlos Ulberg

90.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alex Pereira is the UFC Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracleufc.com

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the UFC Light Heavyweight championship market?

Odds are influenced by fighter performance, injury reports, and upcoming match results. Additionally, changes in training camps and fight strategies can affect perceptions of a fighter's chances.

How often do the odds change for this championship market?

Odds can change frequently, especially after major fights or announcements related to the fighters. Real-time updates reflect shifts in public sentiment and expert analysis.

What is the significance of the UFC Light Heavyweight championship?

The championship represents the pinnacle of achievement in the Light Heavyweight division, impacting fighters' careers and legacies. It also draws significant fan interest and media attention, influencing betting markets.

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Carlos Ulberg: 90.0¢ on Kalshi, 90.5¢ on Polymarket; Magomed Ankalaev: 6.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.6¢ on Polymarket; Alex Pereira: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.5¢ on Polymarket; Khalil Rountree Jr: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.8¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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