If Nurullo Aliev wins the Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Nurullo Aliev in Nurullo Aliev @ Grant Dawson (UFC); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracle

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev odds?

The latest available prices are Grant Dawson: 51.5¢ on Kalshi, 51.5¢ on Polymarket, 52.3¢ on ProphetX, 52.0¢ on Polymarket US, 51.3¢ on Novig; Nurullo Aliev: 48.5¢ on Kalshi, 48.5¢ on Polymarket, 47.7¢ on ProphetX, 48.0¢ on Polymarket US, 48.8¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev prediction market payouts work?

For example, Grant Dawson at 51.7¢ implies about a 51.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

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Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

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Price History

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Method of Victory

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Market Rulebook: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Frequently Asked Questions