Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo CodeNovig Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Islam Makhachev Wins: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry

Resolved 2026-08-16

This market resolved on 2026-08-16. Islam Makhachev was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Islam Makhachev vs.

Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry — UFC fight held on 2026-08-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC

View

MotoGP World Champion

View

Chicago State Cougars vs. Tarleton State Texans

View

Jack Loge vs. Renaud Lefevre

View

Varvara Lepchenko vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Resolved Sep 29

Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes
—100%
Over 0.5 Rounds
—100%
Over 1.5 Rounds
—100%
Over 3.5 Rounds
—100%
Over 4.5 Rounds
—100%
Islam MakhachevWINNER
99%100%
Over 2.5 Rounds
—99%
Decision / Draw / No Contest
99%—
Islam Makhachev by Decision
99%—
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
—95%
Fight won by submission: No
—95%
Makhachev to win by KO/TKO: No
—92%
Machado Garry to win by KO/TKO: No
—62%
Machado Garry to win by KO/TKO: Yes
—38%
Makhachev to win by KO/TKO: Yes
—8%
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
—5%
Fight won by submission: Yes
—5%
Draw/No Contest
1%—
Ian Machado Garry by Decision
1%—
Ian Machado Garry by KO/TKO/DQ
1%—
Ian Machado Garry by Submission
1%—
Ian Machado Garry to win in Round 1
1%—
Ian Machado Garry to win in Round 2
1%—
Ian Machado Garry to win in Round 3
1%—
Ian Machado Garry to win in Round 4
1%—
Ian Machado Garry to win in Round 5
1%—
Islam Makhachev by KO/TKO/DQ
1%—
Islam Makhachev by Submission
1%—
Islam Makhachev to win in Round 1
1%—
Islam Makhachev to win in Round 2
1%—
Islam Makhachev to win in Round 3
1%—
Islam Makhachev to win in Round 4
1%—
Islam Makhachev to win in Round 5
1%—
Under 2.5 Rounds
—1%
Ian Machado Garry
1%0%
Fight to Go the Distance: No
—0%
Under 0.5 Rounds
—0%
Under 1.5 Rounds
—0%
Under 3.5 Rounds
—0%
Under 4.5 Rounds
—0%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Islam Makhachev

99.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Islam Makhachev wins the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry odds?

The last available prices are Islam Makhachev: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Ian Machado Garry: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry prediction market payouts work?

For example, Islam Makhachev at 99.5¢ implies about a 99.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

No price history available