Live prediction market odds for MotoGP World Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Marc Marquez about a 97.0% chance. Francesco Bagnaia follows at 4.0%, Marco Bezzecchi follows at 2.5%, and Jorge Martin follows at 3.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
Polymarket USKalshiPolymarket USOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Raul Fernandez wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. The 2026 MotoGP World Champion is decided by the highest number of points accumulated over a 22-round season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Raul Fernandez wins the 2026 MotoGP World Champion title. Outcome sourced from MotoGP.
The MotoGP World Champion is determined by the total points accumulated by riders throughout the season. Points are awarded based on finishing positions in each race.
This event resolves on December 14, 2026. The championship concludes after the final race of the season.
Odds for the MotoGP World Champion fluctuate based on individual race results and rider performances. Strong finishes in races can significantly boost a rider's odds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Marc Marquez: 97.0¢ on Kalshi; Francesco Bagnaia: 4.0¢ on Kalshi; Marco Bezzecchi: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; Jorge Martin: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 3.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
