About This Market
Joe Kropschot vs.
Joe Kropschot vs. Jon Kunneman — UFC fight held on 2026-08-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Joe Kropschot vs. Jon Kunneman. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Resolved 2026-08-11
This market resolved on 2026-08-11. Joe Kropschot was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Joe Kropschot vs.
Joe Kropschot vs. Jon Kunneman — UFC fight held on 2026-08-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — | — | 100% |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — | — | 100% |
Joe KropschotWINNER | 99% | 99% | 100% |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — | — | 66% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 51% |
Fight won by submission: No | — | — | 51% |
Kropschot to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 51% |
Kunneman to win by KO/TKO: No | — | — | 51% |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | — | — | 49% |
Fight won by submission: Yes | — | — | 49% |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — | — | 34% |
Jon Kunneman | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — | — | 1% |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — | — | 1% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — |
Kropschot to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — |
Kunneman to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — | — | — |
Joe Kropschot
99.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Jon Kunneman wins the Kunneman vs Kropschot professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kunneman vs Kropschot professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketEach market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Joe Kropschot and Jon Kunneman at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 1, scheduled for August 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Joe Kropschot vs Jon Kunneman UFC fight scheduled for August 11, 2026. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Joe Kropschot: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.5¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Jon Kunneman: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.5¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Joe Kropschot at 99.2¢ implies about a 99.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.