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Live prediction market odds for AFC West Division Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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AFC West Division Winner

2027-01-04

Best price · tap to trade

Kansas City Chiefs55¢1.82xKalshiLas Vegas Raiders14¢7.14xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Kansas City Chiefs about a 54.5% chance. Las Vegas Raiders follows at 13.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Traders give Kansas City Chiefs about a 54.5% chance. Las Vegas Raiders follows at 13.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the AFC West Division Winner event. The outcome will influence playoff positioning and team strategies as the season progresses, making it a focal point for fans and analysts alike.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
Kansas City ChiefsKansas City Chiefs
55%
Kalshi55¢
Polymarket59¢
Predict.fun60¢
Kalshi1.82x55¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
54.0%53¢55¢45¢47¢
PolymarketPolymarket
55.0%55¢59¢41¢45¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
56.3%53¢60¢40¢47¢
Las Vegas RaidersLas Vegas Raiders
14%
Kalshi14¢
Polymarket17¢
Predict.fun13¢
Kalshi7.14x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.0%13¢14¢86¢87¢
PolymarketPolymarket
13.6%14¢17¢83¢86¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
11.4%10¢13¢87¢90¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
the Governing League
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.6%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Kansas City Chiefs

54.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: AFC West Division Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Kansas City wins the Pro Football AFC West Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
the Governing League
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the AFC West division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the AFC West Division Winner?

Team performance, injuries, and head-to-head matchups significantly impact the odds. Additionally, betting trends and expert analyses can sway market prices.

How does the AFC West Division Winner affect playoff scenarios?

Winning the division secures a playoff berth and can determine home-field advantage. This positioning is crucial for teams aiming for a deep playoff run.

When does the AFC West Division Winner market close?

The market is set to close on January 4, 2027, coinciding with the end of the regular NFL season. Final standings will be determined shortly after this date.

What does the AFC West Division Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest AFC West Division Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Kansas City Chiefs: 54.0¢ on Kalshi, 55.0¢ on Polymarket, 56.3¢ on Predict.fun; Las Vegas Raiders: 14.0¢ on Kalshi, 13.6¢ on Polymarket, 11.4¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Mahomes Goes 2-0 After Knee Surgery, Chiefs AFC West Odds Hit 60%Kansas City climbed from 52% to 60% on Kalshi and Polymarket after Mahomes posted 566 yards and 5 TDs, with Kenneth Walker adding 307 rushing yards across two games.Sep 21, 2026Chiefs' AFC West Odds Jump to 54% After Walker III's 190-Yard DebutKansas City rose from 35% to 54% on Kalshi and Polymarket in three days, with Mahomes managing 184 passing yards in his first game back from a knee injury.Sep 17, 2026Chiefs AFC West Odds Hit 51% After Walker's 190-Yard DebutKenneth Walker III rushed for 190+ yards and two scores in his Kansas City debut, vaulting the Chiefs from 34% to 51% in the AFC West market.Sep 15, 2026
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily fading Las Vegas Raiders

Smart Money Consensus$182
$182No
Smart Traders Split1
1No
KalshiBuy No at 87¢Best price among US-regulated venues.

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Las Vegas Raiders
No$182 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow