Live prediction market odds for Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez
2026-08-18
Best price · tap to trade
Live prediction market odds for Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

2026-08-18
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give Cristian Pérez about a 76.5% chance. Logan Paxton follows at 27.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.2 percentage points.
Traders give Cristian Pérez about a 76.5% chance. Logan Paxton follows at 27.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.2 percentage points.
Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez — UFC fight scheduled for 2026-08-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.



Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi
KalshiCristian Pérez
76.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Logan Paxton wins the Perez vs Paxton professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Perez vs Paxton professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Cristian Perez defeats Logan Paxton at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Logan Paxton vs Cristian Perez UFC fight scheduled for August 18, 2026. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Cristian Pérez: 75.0¢ on Kalshi, 74.1¢ on Polymarket, 80.3¢ on ProphetX; Logan Paxton: 26.0¢ on Kalshi, 25.9¢ on Polymarket, 31.2¢ on ProphetX, 27.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cristian Pérez at 76.5¢ implies about a 76.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.