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Live prediction market odds for Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez

2026-08-18

Best price · tap to trade

Cristian Pérez75¢1.33xKalshiLogan Paxton26¢3.85xKalshi

About This Market

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 29

Final odds

Traders give Cristian Pérez about a 76.5% chance. Logan Paxton follows at 27.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.2 percentage points.

Traders give Cristian Pérez about a 76.5% chance. Logan Paxton follows at 27.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.2 percentage points.

Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez — UFC fight scheduled for 2026-08-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
CP
Cristian PérezARB
76%
Kalshi75¢
—
Polymarket75¢
ProphetX80¢
Kalshi1.33x75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
75.0%74¢75¢25¢26¢
PolymarketPolymarket
74.1%73¢75¢25¢27¢
ProphetXProphetX
80.3%80¢80¢31¢31¢
LP
Logan PaxtonARB
28%
Kalshi26¢
Polymarket US27¢
Polymarket27¢
ProphetX31¢
Kalshi3.85x26¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
26.0%25¢26¢74¢75¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
27.0%26¢27¢73¢74¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.9%25¢27¢73¢75¢
ProphetXProphetX
31.2%31¢31¢80¢80¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CP
Cristian Perez by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue46%
Kalshi46¢
—
Kalshi2.17x46¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
46.0%42¢46¢54¢58¢
CP
Cristian Perez by Submission
single venue31%
Kalshi31¢
—
Kalshi3.23x31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
31.0%18¢31¢69¢82¢
LP
Logan Paxton by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue29%
Kalshi29¢
—
Kalshi3.45x29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
29.0%15¢29¢71¢85¢
CP
Cristian Perez by Decision
single venue31%
Kalshi31¢
—
Kalshi3.23x31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
31.0%6¢31¢69¢94¢
LP
Logan Paxton by Decision
single venue9%
Kalshi9¢
—
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%5¢9¢91¢95¢
LP
Logan Paxton by Submission
single venue8%
Kalshi8¢
—
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%3¢8¢92¢97¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue23%
Kalshi23¢
—
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.0%2¢23¢77¢98¢
PT
Paxton to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue99%
—
Polymarket99¢
Polymarket1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%74¢99¢1¢26¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue99%
—
Polymarket99¢
Polymarket1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%24¢99¢1¢76¢
PT
Perez to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue
—
Polymarket52¢
Polymarket1.92x52¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢52¢48¢100¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue
—
Polymarket99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%1¢99¢1¢99¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue
—
Polymarket99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%1¢99¢1¢99¢
PT
Perez to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue
—
—
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
—48¢——52¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue76%
—
Polymarket76¢
Polymarket1.32x76¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
76.0%1¢76¢24¢99¢
PT
Paxton to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue26%
—
Polymarket26¢
Polymarket3.85x26¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
26.0%1¢26¢74¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue38%
Kalshi38¢
Kalshi2.63x38¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
38.0%5¢38¢62¢95¢
CP
Cristian Perez to win in Round 1
single venue41%
Kalshi41¢
Kalshi2.44x41¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
41.0%12¢41¢59¢88¢
CP
Cristian Perez to win in Round 2
single venue41%
Kalshi41¢
Kalshi2.44x41¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
41.0%9¢41¢59¢91¢
CP
Cristian Perez to win in Round 3
single venue16%
Kalshi16¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%6¢16¢84¢94¢
LP
Logan Paxton to win in Round 2
single venue15%
Kalshi15¢
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%6¢15¢85¢94¢
LP
Logan Paxton to win in Round 3
single venue15%
Kalshi15¢
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%6¢15¢85¢94¢
LP
Logan Paxton to win in Round 1
single venue15%
Kalshi15¢
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%5¢15¢85¢95¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket61¢
Polymarket1.64x61¢
Under 1.5 Rounds
Polymarket45¢
Polymarket2.22x45¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket99¢
NOPolymarket83¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.2%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Cristian Pérez

76.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Logan Paxton wins the Perez vs Paxton professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Perez vs Paxton professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cristian Perez defeats Logan Paxton at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Logan Paxton vs Cristian Perez UFC fight scheduled for August 18, 2026. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez odds?

The latest available prices are Cristian Pérez: 75.0¢ on Kalshi, 74.1¢ on Polymarket, 80.3¢ on ProphetX; Logan Paxton: 26.0¢ on Kalshi, 25.9¢ on Polymarket, 31.2¢ on ProphetX, 27.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Pérez prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cristian Pérez at 76.5¢ implies about a 76.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

No price history available