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Live prediction market odds for Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers

2027-06-06

Best price · tap to trade

Bayern Munich97¢1.03xPolymarketLeverkusen90¢1.11xKalshiLeipzig85¢1.18xKalshi
Compare all 16 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Bayern Munich about a 91.0% chance. Leverkusen follows at 61.8%, Leipzig follows at 61.5%, and Stuttgart follows at 30.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 28.5 percentage points.

Traders give Bayern Munich about a 91.0% chance. Leverkusen follows at 61.8%, Leipzig follows at 61.5%, and Stuttgart follows at 30.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 28.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers for the 2026-2027 season. The market resolves based on the final league standings on June 6, 2027, with odds fluctuating based on team performances throughout the season.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
BM
Bayern Munich
91%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
85.5%71¢100¢0¢29¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.5%96¢97¢3¢4¢
L
Leverkusen
62%
Kalshi90¢
Polymarket66¢
Kalshi1.11x90¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
60.0%24¢90¢10¢76¢
PolymarketPolymarket
63.5%61¢66¢34¢39¢
L
Leipzig
62%
Kalshi85¢
Polymarket63¢
Kalshi1.18x85¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
61.0%37¢85¢15¢63¢
PolymarketPolymarket
62.0%61¢63¢37¢39¢
S
Stuttgart
31%
Kalshi53¢
Polymarket28¢
Kalshi1.89x53¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
35.0%17¢53¢47¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
26.0%24¢28¢72¢76¢
F
Frankfurt
14%
Kalshi63¢
Polymarket50¢
Kalshi1.59x63¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.0%0¢63¢37¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
28.5%6¢50¢50¢94¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread28.5%
Platforms2
Candidates16
Leader

Bayern Munich

91.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Stuttgart is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Bundesliga as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of the Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers market?

The market resolves based on the final standings of the Bundesliga at the end of the 2026-2027 season. Specifically, it will be determined on June 6, 2027.

How do team performances affect the odds in this market?

Odds in this market fluctuate based on the teams' performances throughout the season, including wins, losses, and draws. Key matches and player injuries can significantly impact these odds.

When does the Bundesliga season start and end for this market?

The Bundesliga season typically starts in August and concludes in May, but this market specifically focuses on the final standings as of June 6, 2027. The timeline allows for all matches to be accounted for before resolution.

What does the Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers odds?

The latest available prices are Bayern Munich: 85.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.5¢ on Polymarket; Leverkusen: 60.0¢ on Kalshi, 63.5¢ on Polymarket; Leipzig: 61.0¢ on Kalshi, 62.0¢ on Polymarket; Stuttgart: 35.0¢ on Kalshi, 26.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Leipzig's Top 4 Odds Fall 19 Points After 2-2 Start to 2026-27Prediction markets price Leipzig at 43% for a Bundesliga top-4 finish, down from 62% three days ago, with Kalshi and Polymarket showing a 36-point spread.Sep 26, 2026