Live prediction market odds for Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Bayern Munich about a 95.5% chance. Dortmund follows at 92.0%, Bayer Leverkusen follows at 73.5%, and RB Leipzig follows at 71.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Stuttgart is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Bundesliga as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves based on the final standings of the Bundesliga at the end of the 2026-2027 season. Specifically, it will be determined on June 6, 2027.
Odds in this market fluctuate based on the teams' performances throughout the season, including wins, losses, and draws. Key matches and player injuries can significantly impact these odds.
The Bundesliga season typically starts in August and concludes in May, but this market specifically focuses on the final standings as of June 6, 2027. The timeline allows for all matches to be accounted for before resolution.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Bayern Munich: 93.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket; Dortmund: 92.0¢ on Kalshi; Bayer Leverkusen: 70.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.0¢ on Polymarket; RB Leipzig: 69.0¢ on Kalshi, 74.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
