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Live prediction market odds for Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan

Game starts Oct 24, 2026 · Listed Oct 13, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Petr Yan58¢1.72xKalshiMerab Dvalishvili43¢2.33xNovig
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Oct 22

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Petr Yan about a 58.0% chance. Merab Dvalishvili follows at 42.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Traders give Petr Yan about a 58.0% chance. Merab Dvalishvili follows at 42.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
PY
Petr Yan
58%
Kalshi58¢
Polymarket US58¢
Novig59¢
Polymarket59¢
ProphetX59¢
Kalshi1.72x58¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
57.5%57¢58¢42¢43¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
57.5%57¢58¢42¢43¢
NovigNovig
58.3%58¢59¢41¢43¢
PolymarketPolymarket
58.5%58¢59¢41¢42¢
ProphetXProphetX
58.1%57¢59¢41¢43¢
MD
Merab Dvalishvili
42%
Kalshi43¢
Polymarket US43¢
Novig43¢
Polymarket42¢
ProphetX43¢
Novig2.35x43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
42.5%42¢43¢57¢58¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
42.5%42¢43¢57¢58¢
NovigNovig
41.8%41¢43¢58¢59¢
PolymarketPolymarket
41.5%41¢42¢58¢59¢
ProphetXProphetX
41.9%41¢43¢57¢59¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DT
Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue93%
—
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%53¢93¢7¢47¢
DT
Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue47%
—
Polymarket47¢
Polymarket2.13x47¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
47.0%7¢47¢53¢93¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue75%
—
Polymarket75¢
Polymarket1.33x75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
75.0%59¢75¢25¢41¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue80%
—
Polymarket80¢
Polymarket1.25x80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
80.0%66¢80¢20¢34¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue41%
—
Polymarket41¢
Polymarket2.44x41¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
41.0%25¢41¢59¢75¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue34%
—
Polymarket34¢
Polymarket2.94x34¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
34.0%20¢34¢66¢80¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%75¢97¢3¢25¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue25%
—
Polymarket25¢
Polymarket4.00x25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%3¢25¢75¢97¢
YT
Yan to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue78%
—
Polymarket78¢
Polymarket1.28x78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
78.0%67¢78¢22¢33¢
YT
Yan to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue33%
—
Polymarket33¢
Polymarket3.03x33¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
33.0%22¢33¢67¢78¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
—
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
MD
Merab Dvalishvili by Decision
single venue30%
Kalshi31¢
—
Kalshi3.23x31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
30.0%29¢31¢69¢71¢
MD
Merab Dvalishvili by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue8%
Kalshi8¢
—
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%7¢8¢92¢93¢
MD
Merab Dvalishvili by Submission
single venue5%
Kalshi5¢
—
Kalshi20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PY
Petr Yan by Decision
single venue39%
Kalshi39¢
—
Kalshi2.56x39¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
38.5%38¢39¢61¢62¢
PY
Petr Yan by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue18%
Kalshi18¢
—
Kalshi5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.5%17¢18¢82¢83¢
PY
Petr Yan by Submission
single venue4%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%3¢4¢96¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
MD
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 1
single venue3%
Kalshi3¢
Kalshi33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
MD
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 2
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
MD
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 3
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
MD
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 4
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
MD
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 5
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue65%
Kalshi70¢
Kalshi1.43x70¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
65.0%60¢70¢30¢40¢
PY
Petr Yan to win in Round 1
single venue6%
Kalshi6¢
Kalshi16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PY
Petr Yan to win in Round 2
single venue6%
Kalshi6¢
Kalshi16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PY
Petr Yan to win in Round 5
single venue4%
Kalshi4¢
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%3¢4¢96¢97¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

$110 VolBest price
Over 4.5 Rounds
Polymarket72¢
Polymarket1.37x73¢
Under 4.5 Rounds
Polymarket28¢
Polymarket3.45x29¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket70¢
NOPolymarket31¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Volume$730K
Leader

Petr Yan

58.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Petr Yan wins the Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Petr Yan in Merab Dvalishvili @ Petr Yan (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan odds?

The latest available prices are Petr Yan: 57.5¢ on Kalshi, 58.5¢ on Polymarket, 58.1¢ on ProphetX, 57.5¢ on Polymarket US, 58.3¢ on Novig; Merab Dvalishvili: 42.5¢ on Kalshi, 41.5¢ on Polymarket, 41.9¢ on ProphetX, 42.5¢ on Polymarket US, 41.8¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan prediction market payouts work?

For example, Petr Yan at 58.0¢ implies about a 58.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Smart Money Lean · Last 24h
Full Feed

Smart money is buying Petr Yan

Smart Money Consensus$1.7K
$885Petr Yan$772Merab Dvalishvili
Smart Traders Split3
1Petr Yan2Merab Dvalishvili
KalshiBuy Yes at 58¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Petr YanBought $885 · 1 wallet
Merab DvalishviliBought $772 · 3 wallets

Net flow from wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit. Buying No or selling Yes counts toward No.

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $54.1K lifetime bought $885 of Petr Yan at 59¢

8h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $4.8M lifetime bought $724 of Merab Dvalishvili at 42¢

12h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $629K lifetime sold $750 of Petr Yan at 60¢

1d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $83K lifetime bought $647 of Petr Yan at 61¢

2d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $16.6K lifetime bought $763 of Petr Yan at 60¢

3d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Trade on Polymarket US →