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Live prediction market odds for Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo

Game starts Oct 24, 2026 · Listed Oct 20, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Iasmin Lucindo77¢1.30xKalshiNicolle Caliari24¢4.17xKalshi
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Oct 22

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Iasmin Lucindo about a 76.4% chance. Nicolle Caliari follows at 23.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.7 percentage points.

Traders give Iasmin Lucindo about a 76.4% chance. Nicolle Caliari follows at 23.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.7 percentage points.

Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
IL
Iasmin Lucindo
76%
Kalshi77¢
Polymarket US77¢
Novig77¢
Polymarket77¢
ProphetX77¢
Kalshi1.30x77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
NovigNovig
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
PolymarketPolymarket
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
ProphetXProphetX
75.8%75¢77¢23¢25¢
NC
Nicolle Caliari
24%
Kalshi24¢
Polymarket US24¢
Novig24¢
Polymarket24¢
ProphetX25¢
Kalshi4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
NovigNovig
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
ProphetXProphetX
24.2%23¢25¢75¢77¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CT
Caliari to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
CT
Caliari to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
LT
Lucindo to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue93%
—
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%7¢93¢7¢93¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue97%
—
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%3¢97¢3¢97¢
LT
Lucindo to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue93%
—
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%7¢93¢7¢93¢
NC
Nicolle Caliari by Decision
single venue13%
Kalshi14¢
—
Kalshi7.14x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
13.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
NC
Nicolle Caliari by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue4%
Kalshi5¢
—
Kalshi20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
NC
Nicolle Caliari by Submission
single venue8%
Kalshi8¢
—
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%7¢8¢92¢93¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue2%
Kalshi3¢
—
Kalshi33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢3¢97¢99¢
JL
Jasmin Lucindo by Decision
single venue54%
Kalshi55¢
—
Kalshi1.82x55¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
53.5%52¢55¢45¢48¢
JL
Jasmin Lucindo by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue15%
Kalshi15¢
—
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.5%14¢15¢85¢86¢
JL
Jasmin Lucindo by Submission
single venue9%
Kalshi10¢
—
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
JL
Jasmin Lucindo to win in Round 1
single venue9%
Kalshi11¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.5%6¢11¢89¢94¢
JL
Jasmin Lucindo to win in Round 2
single venue8%
Kalshi9¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%6¢9¢91¢94¢
JL
Jasmin Lucindo to win in Round 3
single venue7%
Kalshi8¢
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.5%5¢8¢92¢95¢
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue67%
Kalshi67¢
Kalshi1.49x67¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
67.0%4¢67¢33¢96¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket71¢
Polymarket1.39x72¢
Under 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket29¢
Polymarket3.33x30¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket68¢
NOPolymarket32¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.7%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Volume$49K
Leader

Iasmin Lucindo

76.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jasmin Lucindo wins the Jasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Iasmin Lucindo in Nicolle Caliari @ Iasmin Lucindo (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Nicolle Caliari" if Nicolle Caliari is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iasmin Lucindo at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Iasmin Lucindo" if Iasmin Lucindo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo odds?

The latest available prices are Iasmin Lucindo: 76.5¢ on Kalshi, 76.5¢ on Polymarket, 75.8¢ on ProphetX, 76.5¢ on Polymarket US, 76.5¢ on Novig; Nicolle Caliari: 23.5¢ on Kalshi, 23.5¢ on Polymarket, 24.2¢ on ProphetX, 23.5¢ on Polymarket US, 23.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo prediction market payouts work?

For example, Iasmin Lucindo at 76.4¢ implies about a 76.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.