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Live prediction market odds for Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Game starts Oct 24, 2026 · Listed Oct 13, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev82¢1.22xProphetXNikita Krylov18¢5.56xKalshi
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Oct 22

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev about a 82.0% chance. Nikita Krylov follows at 18.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.7 percentage points.

Traders give Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev about a 82.0% chance. Nikita Krylov follows at 18.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.7 percentage points.

Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
AY
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
82%
Kalshi83¢
Polymarket US83¢
Novig83¢
Polymarket83¢
ProphetX82¢
ProphetX1.22x82¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
82.5%82¢83¢17¢18¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
82.5%82¢83¢17¢18¢
NovigNovig
81.8%81¢83¢18¢19¢
PolymarketPolymarket
82.5%82¢83¢17¢18¢
ProphetXProphetX
80.8%79¢82¢18¢21¢
NK
Nikita Krylov
18%
Kalshi18¢
Polymarket US18¢
Novig19¢
Polymarket18¢
ProphetX21¢
Kalshi5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.5%17¢18¢82¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
17.5%17¢18¢82¢83¢
NovigNovig
18.3%18¢19¢81¢83¢
PolymarketPolymarket
17.5%17¢18¢82¢83¢
ProphetXProphetX
19.2%18¢21¢79¢82¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue48%
—
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
48.0%24¢48¢52¢76¢
YT
Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue56%
—
Polymarket56¢
Polymarket1.79x56¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
55.5%55¢56¢44¢45¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue48%
—
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
48.0%6¢48¢52¢94¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue94%
—
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%52¢94¢6¢48¢
KT
Krylov to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue94%
—
Polymarket94¢
Polymarket1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%52¢94¢6¢48¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue41%
—
Polymarket45¢
Polymarket2.22x45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
41.0%37¢45¢55¢63¢
KT
Krylov to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue48%
—
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
48.0%6¢48¢52¢94¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue76%
—
Polymarket76¢
Polymarket1.32x76¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
76.0%52¢76¢24¢48¢
YT
Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue45%
—
Polymarket45¢
Polymarket2.22x45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
44.5%44¢45¢55¢56¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue59%
—
Polymarket63¢
Polymarket1.59x63¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
59.0%55¢63¢37¢45¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
—
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
NK
Nikita Krylov by Decision
single venue3%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢
NK
Nikita Krylov by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue9%
Kalshi10¢
—
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
NK
Nikita Krylov by Submission
single venue6%
Kalshi7¢
—
Kalshi14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%4¢7¢93¢96¢
AY
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Decision
single venue7%
Kalshi8¢
—
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢
AY
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue54%
Kalshi54¢
—
Kalshi1.85x54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
53.5%53¢54¢46¢47¢
AY
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by Submission
single venue23%
Kalshi24¢
—
Kalshi4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.0%22¢24¢76¢78¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
NK
Nikita Krylov to win in Round 1
single venue9%
Kalshi11¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.5%6¢11¢89¢94¢
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue11%
Kalshi15¢
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.5%6¢15¢85¢94¢
AY
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev to win in Round 1
single venue58%
Kalshi59¢
Kalshi1.69x59¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
58.0%57¢59¢41¢43¢
AY
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev to win in Round 2
single venue17%
Kalshi18¢
Kalshi5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.5%15¢18¢82¢85¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket67¢
Polymarket1.49x67¢
Under 0.5 Rounds
Polymarket49¢
Polymarket2.04x49¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket13¢
NOPolymarket87¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.7%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Volume$264K
Leader

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

82.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev wins the Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev in Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev @ Nikita Krylov (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Nikita Krylov" if Nikita Krylov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev" if Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev odds?

The latest available prices are Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev: 82.5¢ on Kalshi, 82.5¢ on Polymarket, 80.8¢ on ProphetX, 82.5¢ on Polymarket US, 81.8¢ on Novig; Nikita Krylov: 17.5¢ on Kalshi, 17.5¢ on Polymarket, 19.2¢ on ProphetX, 17.5¢ on Polymarket US, 18.3¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev prediction market payouts work?

For example, Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at 82.0¢ implies about a 82.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Smart Money Lean · Last 24h
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Smart Money Consensus$1.5K
$1.5KAbdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
Smart Traders Split3
3Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
ProphetXBuy Yes at 82¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Abdul-Rakhman YakhyaevBought $1.5K · 3 wallets

Net flow from wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit. Buying No or selling Yes counts toward No.

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $19.8K lifetime bought $1K of Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at 82¢

3h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $56.7K lifetime bought $534 of Nikita Krylov at 20¢

2d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $626K lifetime bought $1.2K of Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at 80¢

2d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Trade on Polymarket US →