Live prediction market odds for Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko. Compare prices across Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-09-05
This market resolved on 2026-09-05. Daniil Donchenko was the officially declared outcome.
Punahele Soriano vs.
Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko: UFC fight held on 2026-09-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | 100% |
Over 0.5 Rounds | 99% |
Fight won by submission: No | 86% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | 84% |
Soriano to win by KO/TKO: No | 82% |
Over 1.5 Rounds | 64% |
Donchenko to win by KO/TKO: No | 52% |
Donchenko to win by KO/TKO: Yes | 48% |
Over 2.5 Rounds | 36% |
Under 1.5 Rounds | 36% |
Soriano to win by KO/TKO: Yes | 18% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | 16% |
Fight won by submission: Yes | 14% |
Under 0.5 Rounds | 1% |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | 0% |
Under 2.5 Rounds | 0% |
Daniil DonchenkoWINNER | — |
Daniil Donchenko by Decision | — |
Daniil Donchenko by KO/TKO/DQ | — |
Daniil Donchenko by Submission | — |
Daniil Donchenko to win in Round 1 | — |
Daniil Donchenko to win in Round 2 | — |
Daniil Donchenko to win in Round 3 | — |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | — |
Draw/No Contest | — |
Punahele Soriano | — |
Punahele Soriano by Decision | — |
Punahele Soriano by KO/TKO/DQ | — |
Punahele Soriano by Submission | — |
Punahele Soriano to win in Round 1 | — |
Punahele Soriano to win in Round 2 | — |
Punahele Soriano to win in Round 3 | — |
Daniil Donchenko
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Punahele Soriano wins the Donchenko vs Soriano professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Donchenko vs Soriano professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Punahele Soriano" if Punahele Soriano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Daniil Donchenko at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Daniil Donchenko" if Daniil Donchenko is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano UFC fight scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.
