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Live prediction market odds for Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh

Game starts Oct 24, 2026 · Listed Oct 13, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

Lone'er Kavanagh51¢1.96xKalshiRamazan Temirov50¢2.00xPolymarket US
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Oct 22

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Lone'er Kavanagh about a 50.6% chance. Ramazan Temirov follows at 49.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.4 percentage points.

Traders give Lone'er Kavanagh about a 50.6% chance. Ramazan Temirov follows at 49.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.4 percentage points.

Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh: UFC fight scheduled for 2026-10-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
LK
Lone'er Kavanagh
51%
Kalshi51¢
Polymarket US51¢
Novig52¢
Polymarket51¢
ProphetX53¢
Kalshi1.96x51¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
50.5%50¢51¢49¢50¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
50.5%50¢51¢49¢50¢
NovigNovig
50.8%50¢52¢49¢50¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.5%50¢51¢49¢50¢
ProphetXProphetX
50.9%49¢53¢47¢51¢
RT
Ramazan Temirov
50%
Kalshi51¢
Polymarket US50¢
Novig50¢
Polymarket50¢
ProphetX51¢
Polymarket US2.00x50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
50.5%50¢51¢49¢50¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
49.5%49¢50¢50¢51¢
NovigNovig
49.3%49¢50¢50¢52¢
PolymarketPolymarket
49.5%49¢50¢50¢51¢
ProphetXProphetX
49.1%47¢51¢49¢53¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Method of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
KT
Kavanagh to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue49%
—
Polymarket49¢
Polymarket2.04x49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
49.0%13¢49¢51¢87¢
FW
Fight won by submission: No
single venue95%
—
Polymarket95¢
Polymarket1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
95.0%51¢95¢5¢49¢
TT
Temirov to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue74%
—
Polymarket74¢
Polymarket1.35x74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
74.0%51¢74¢26¢49¢
FW
Fight won by decision: Yes
single venue50%
—
Polymarket50¢
Polymarket2.00x50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%38¢50¢50¢62¢
FW
Fight won by submission: Yes
single venue49%
—
Polymarket49¢
Polymarket2.04x49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
49.0%5¢49¢51¢95¢
KT
Kavanagh to win by KO/TKO: No
single venue87%
—
Polymarket87¢
Polymarket1.15x87¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
87.0%51¢87¢13¢49¢
FW
Fight won by decision: No
single venue62%
—
Polymarket62¢
Polymarket1.61x62¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
62.0%50¢62¢38¢50¢
TT
Temirov to win by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue49%
—
Polymarket49¢
Polymarket2.04x49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
49.0%26¢49¢51¢74¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes
single venue49%
—
Polymarket53¢
Polymarket1.89x53¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
48.5%44¢53¢47¢56¢
FW
Fight won by KO/TKO: No
single venue52%
—
Polymarket56¢
Polymarket1.79x56¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
51.5%47¢56¢44¢53¢
DC
Draw/No Contest
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
—
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
LK
Loneer Kavanagh by Decision
single venue27%
Kalshi27¢
—
Kalshi3.70x27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
26.5%26¢27¢73¢74¢
LK
Loneer Kavanagh by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue18%
Kalshi19¢
—
Kalshi5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.5%16¢19¢81¢84¢
LK
Loneer Kavanagh by Submission
single venue6%
Kalshi7¢
—
Kalshi14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢
RT
Ramazonbek Temirov by Decision
single venue15%
Kalshi15¢
—
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.5%14¢15¢85¢86¢
RT
Ramazonbek Temirov by KO/TKO/DQ
single venue34%
Kalshi34¢
—
Kalshi2.94x34¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
33.5%33¢34¢66¢67¢
RT
Ramazonbek Temirov by Submission
single venue4%
Kalshi4¢
—
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%3¢4¢96¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Round of Victory

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
LK
Loneer Kavanagh to win in Round 1
single venue10%
Kalshi12¢
Kalshi8.33x12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.5%7¢12¢88¢93¢
LK
Loneer Kavanagh to win in Round 2
single venue8%
Kalshi9¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%6¢9¢91¢94¢
LK
Loneer Kavanagh to win in Round 3
single venue8%
Kalshi11¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%5¢11¢89¢95¢
D/
Decision / Draw / No Contest
single venue37%
Kalshi38¢
Kalshi2.63x38¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
37.0%36¢38¢62¢64¢
RT
Ramazonbek Temirov to win in Round 1
single venue16%
Kalshi17¢
Kalshi5.88x17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%14¢17¢83¢86¢
RT
Ramazonbek Temirov to win in Round 2
single venue10%
Kalshi12¢
Kalshi8.33x12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.0%8¢12¢88¢92¢
RT
Ramazonbek Temirov to win in Round 3
single venue8%
Kalshi11¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%5¢11¢89¢95¢
KalshiKalshi

Total Rounds

Best price
Over 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket52¢
Polymarket1.89x53¢
Under 2.5 Rounds
Polymarket48¢
Polymarket2.04x49¢

Goes the Distance

Fight to Go the Distance?
YESPolymarket45¢
NOPolymarket56¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.4%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Volume$201K
Leader

Lone'er Kavanagh

50.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Loneer Kavanagh wins the Loneer Kavanagh vs Ramazonbek Temirov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Lone'er Kavanagh in Ramazan Temirov @ Lone'er Kavanagh (UFC); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Ramazan Temirov" if Ramazan Temirov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lone'er Kavanagh at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Lone'er Kavanagh" if Lone'er Kavanagh is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Lone'er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov UFC fight scheduled for October 24 at 10:00AM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh odds?

The latest available prices are Lone'er Kavanagh: 50.5¢ on Kalshi, 50.5¢ on Polymarket, 50.9¢ on ProphetX, 50.5¢ on Polymarket US, 50.8¢ on Novig; Ramazan Temirov: 50.5¢ on Kalshi, 49.5¢ on Polymarket, 49.1¢ on ProphetX, 49.5¢ on Polymarket US, 49.3¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh prediction market payouts work?

For example, Lone'er Kavanagh at 50.6¢ implies about a 50.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Smart Money Lean · Last 24h
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Ramazan Temirov

Smart Money Consensus$2.7K
$2.5KRamazan Temirov$281Lone'er Kavanagh
Smart Traders Split2
1Ramazan Temirov1Lone'er Kavanagh
Polymarket USBuy Yes at 50¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Lone'er KavanaghBought $281 · 1 wallet
Ramazan TemirovBought $2.5K · 1 wallet

Net flow from wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit. Buying No or selling Yes counts toward No.

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $182K lifetime bought $2.5K of Ramazan Temirov at 49¢

19h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Trade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $4.7M lifetime bought $1.1K of Lone'er Kavanagh at 51¢

4d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USUFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Trade on Polymarket US →