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Live prediction market odds for When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?

Listed Oct 12, 2026 · Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Expected to settle by Dec 31, 2030

Best price · tap to trade

Before Dec 1, 202699¢1.01xKalshiBefore Jan 1, 202899¢1.01xKalshiBefore Jan 1, 202798¢1.02xKalshi
Compare all 4 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give Before Dec 1, 2026 about a 99.0% chance. Before Jan 1, 2028 follows at 99.0%, Before Jan 1, 2027 follows at 98.0%, and Before Feb 1, 2027 follows at 95.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give Before Dec 1, 2026 about a 99.0% chance. Before Jan 1, 2028 follows at 99.0%, Before Jan 1, 2027 follows at 98.0%, and Before Feb 1, 2027 follows at 95.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking when Mike Norvell will leave Florida State. The market resolves based on his departure date, with odds fluctuating based on team performance and contract developments leading up to December 1, 2026.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
BD
Before Dec 1, 2026
single venue99%
Kalshi99¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.0%31¢99¢1¢69¢
BJ
Before Jan 1, 2028
single venue99%
Kalshi99¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.0%65¢99¢1¢35¢
BJ
Before Jan 1, 2027
single venue98%
Kalshi98¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%40¢98¢2¢60¢
BF
Before Feb 1, 2027
single venue95%
Kalshi95¢
Kalshi1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.0%61¢95¢5¢39¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Before Dec 1, 2026

Mike Norvell is the head football coach at Florida State University. He led the Seminoles to an undefeated regular season and their 16th ACC championship in 2023. Norvell's offenses have averaged 34.6 points per game during his 10 years as a head coach, ranking third-highest among active head coaches from 2016 to 2026.

About Before Jan 1, 2028

Mike Norvell is the head football coach at Florida State University. He led the Seminoles to an undefeated regular season and their 16th ACC championship in 2023. Norvell's offenses average 34.6 points per game, ranking third among active head coaches from 2016 to 2026.

About Before Jan 1, 2027

Mike Norvell is the head coach of the Florida State Seminoles football team. He led Memphis to an American Athletic Conference championship in 2019. His leadership has been instrumental in revitalizing Florida State's football program.

About Before Feb 1, 2027

Mike Norvell is the head football coach at Florida State University. He led the Seminoles to an undefeated regular season and the program's 16th ACC championship in 2023. Norvell has coached at Memphis, Arizona State, Pittsburgh, Tulsa, and Central Arkansas, and played wide receiver at the University of Central Arkansas from 2001 to 2005.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates4
Volume$3K
Leader

Before Dec 1, 2026

99.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the head coach of the Florida St. college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Florida St. college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before Dec 1, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for Mike Norvell's departure?

Odds are influenced by Florida State's performance in the season, potential contract negotiations, and any announcements made by the university or coaching staff.

How is the market resolution determined?

The market resolves on the specific date of Mike Norvell's departure from Florida State, which is set for December 1, 2026.

Can changes in team performance affect the market?

Yes, fluctuations in team performance, including wins and losses, can lead to changes in the odds as they may impact Norvell's job security.

When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Before Dec 1, 2026: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Before Jan 1, 2028: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Before Jan 1, 2027: 98.0¢ on Kalshi; Before Feb 1, 2027: 95.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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