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Live prediction market odds for Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?

Listed Jul 9, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026 · Expected to settle by Dec 31, 2035

Best price · tap to trade

Doug Petno34¢2.94xKalshiMarianne Lake2¢50.00xKalshiTroy Rohrbaugh45¢2.22xKalshi
Compare all 6 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Doug Petno about a 62.8% chance. Marianne Lake follows at 49.3%, Troy Rohrbaugh follows at 42.5%, and Jennifer Piepszak follows at 14.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 95.5 percentage points.

Traders give Doug Petno about a 62.8% chance. Marianne Lake follows at 49.3%, Troy Rohrbaugh follows at 42.5%, and Jennifer Piepszak follows at 14.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 95.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase. Leadership changes at major financial institutions can significantly impact stock performance and investor confidence, making this a closely watched event in the financial sector.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DP
Doug Petno
63%
Kalshi34¢
Polymarket94¢
Kalshi2.94x34¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
31.5%29¢34¢66¢71¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%3¢94¢6¢97¢
ML
Marianne LakeARB
49%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket97¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%4¢97¢3¢96¢
TR
Troy Rohrbaugh
43%
Kalshi45¢
Polymarket43¢
Kalshi2.22x45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
42.0%39¢45¢55¢61¢
PolymarketPolymarket
43.0%2¢43¢57¢98¢
JP
Jennifer Piepszak
single venue15%
Kalshi15¢
—
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.5%14¢15¢85¢86¢
ME
Mary Erdoes
single venue9%
Kalshi13¢
—
Kalshi7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%5¢13¢87¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Doug Petno

Doug Petno is Co-President of JPMorgan Chase and CEO of the Commercial & Investment Bank. He has been with the firm for 35 years, serving as CEO of Commercial Banking from 2012 to 2024. Petno's extensive leadership in JPMorgan's banking divisions and his role in the firm's operating committee underscore his qualifications for the CEO position.

About Marianne Lake

Marianne Lake was the CEO of Consumer & Community Banking at JPMorgan Chase until her retirement in June 2026. She joined JPMorgan Chase in 1999, serving as CFO from 2013 to 2019 and CEO of Consumer Lending from 2019 to 2021. Lake was considered a leading candidate to succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan Chase.

About Troy Rohrbaugh

Troy Rohrbaugh is Co-President of JPMorgan Chase and CEO of Consumer & Community Banking. He previously co-led the Commercial & Investment Bank and has over 25 years in the financial industry. His extensive leadership in global markets and strategic roles positions him as a key figure in JPMorgan's executive team.

About Mary Erdoes

Mary Callahan Erdoes is the Chief Executive Officer of JPMorgan Chase's Asset & Wealth Management division, overseeing over $7 trillion in client assets. She joined the firm in 1996, serving in various senior roles before becoming CEO in 2009. Erdoes is recognized as a leading figure in American finance, with a longstanding tenure at JPMorgan Chase.

About Jeremy Barnum

Jeremy Barnum is the Chief Financial Officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and a member of the firm's Operating Committee. He joined the firm in 1994 and has held various leadership roles, including Head of Global Research and CFO of the Corporate & Investment Bank from 2013 to 2021. As CFO, he oversees Global Finance, Business Management, Treasury, and other corporate teams, contributing to the firm's financial strategy and performance.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread95.5%
Platforms2
Candidates6
Volume$8K
Leader

Doug Petno

62.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Troy Rohrbaugh is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for JP Morgan Chase before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the selection of the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?

Factors include the candidate's experience, leadership style, and vision for the company's future. Additionally, market conditions and shareholder expectations play a crucial role in the decision-making process.

How does the CEO transition affect JPMorgan Chase's stock price?

A CEO transition can lead to fluctuations in stock price as investors react to the new leader's perceived ability to steer the company. Historical trends show that leadership changes often result in short-term volatility.

What role do prediction markets play in forecasting corporate leadership changes?

Prediction markets aggregate collective insights and sentiments from participants, providing a real-time reflection of expectations regarding leadership changes. They can serve as an early indicator of potential outcomes based on market dynamics and participant knowledge.

Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Doug Petno: 31.5¢ on Kalshi, 94.0¢ on Polymarket; Marianne Lake: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket; Troy Rohrbaugh: 42.0¢ on Kalshi, 43.0¢ on Polymarket; Jennifer Piepszak: 14.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Troy Rohrbaugh's JPMorgan CEO Odds Rise to 42% on KalshiKalshi traders lifted Rohrbaugh from 36% to 42% in three days. Dimon says his departure timetable is unchanged.Oct 13, 2026