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Live prediction market odds for Will Exponent launch a token by ___?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Polymarket / Predict.fun

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Will Exponent launch a token by ___?

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

December 31, 202613¢7.69xPolymarketSeptember 30, 20262¢50.00xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give December 31, 2026 about a 12.8% chance. September 30, 2026 follows at 1.6%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Traders give December 31, 2026 about a 12.8% chance. September 30, 2026 follows at 1.6%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
D3
December 31, 2026
13%
Polymarket13¢
Predict.fun16¢
Polymarket7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
12.5%12¢13¢87¢88¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
13.0%10¢16¢84¢90¢
S3
September 30, 2026
single venue2%
Polymarket2¢
—
Polymarket50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.6%0¢2¢98¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

December 31, 2026

12.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Will Exponent launch a token by ___?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:11:16.804144227Z

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Exponent launch a token by ___: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Will Exponent launch a token by ___: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are December 31, 2026: 12.5¢ on Polymarket, 13.0¢ on Predict.fun; September 30, 2026: 1.6¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Will Exponent launch a token by ___: why do odds differ between prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

Will Exponent launch a token by ___: how do prices and payouts work?

For example, December 31, 2026 at 12.8¢ implies about a 12.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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