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Live prediction market odds for What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

2029-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

At least 200097¢1.03xKalshiAt least 250094¢1.06xKalshiAt least 300077¢1.30xKalshi
Compare all 7 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give At least 2000 about a 96.0% chance. At least 2500 follows at 91.0%, At least 3000 follows at 74.0%, and At least 3500 follows at 73.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give At least 2000 about a 96.0% chance. At least 2500 follows at 91.0%, At least 3000 follows at 74.0%, and At least 3500 follows at 73.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking the average number of measles cases during Trump's term, which ends in January 2029. This event is crucial as it reflects public health trends and the effectiveness of vaccination campaigns amidst ongoing debates about healthcare policies.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
AL
At least 2000
single venue96%
Kalshi97¢
Kalshi1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.0%96¢97¢3¢4¢
AL
At least 2500
single venue91%
Kalshi94¢
Kalshi1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
91.0%89¢94¢6¢11¢
AL
At least 3000
single venue74%
Kalshi77¢
Kalshi1.30x77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
74.0%71¢77¢23¢29¢
AL
At least 3500
single venue73%
Kalshi75¢
Kalshi1.33x75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
73.0%67¢75¢25¢33¢
AL
At least 4000
single venue60%
Kalshi61¢
Kalshi1.64x61¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
60.0%54¢61¢39¢46¢
KalshiKalshi

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates7
Leader

At least 2000

96.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the average number of measles cases during Trump's term?

Factors include vaccination rates, public health initiatives, and potential outbreaks. Changes in healthcare policy and public perception of vaccinations also play a role.

How are measles cases tracked and reported?

Measles cases are tracked through health department reports and surveillance systems. Data is compiled from hospitals, clinics, and laboratories to provide accurate statistics.

Why is monitoring measles cases significant?

Monitoring measles cases is significant for understanding public health challenges and the effectiveness of immunization efforts. It helps inform policy decisions and resource allocation for disease prevention.

What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are At least 2000: 96.0¢ on Kalshi; At least 2500: 91.0¢ on Kalshi; At least 3000: 74.0¢ on Kalshi; At least 3500: 73.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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