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Live prediction market odds for Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Polymarket / Predict.fun

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Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

Listed Oct 22, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026

Best price · tap to trade

December 31, 202780¢1.25xPolymarketJune 30, 202716¢6.25xPredict.funDecember 31, 20266¢16.67xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give December 31, 2027 about a 80.0% chance. June 30, 2027 follows at 30.8% and December 31, 2026 follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 30.5 percentage points.

Traders give December 31, 2027 about a 80.0% chance. June 30, 2027 follows at 30.8% and December 31, 2026 follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 30.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch. This market resolves based on whether the mission successfully launches before the specified deadline, with odds fluctuating based on updates from the mission's organizers and related space industry developments.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
D3
December 31, 2027
single venue80%
Polymarket80¢
—
Polymarket1.25x80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
80.0%19¢80¢20¢81¢
J3
June 30, 2027ARB
31%
Polymarket46¢
Predict.fun16¢
Predict.fun6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
46.0%21¢46¢54¢79¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢
D3
December 31, 2026
single venue5%
Polymarket6¢
—
Polymarket16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracleyoutube.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread30.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

December 31, 2027

80.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracleyoutube.com
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Doge-1 Lunar Mission?

The Doge-1 Lunar Mission is a planned lunar payload mission funded by Dogecoin. It aims to demonstrate the use of cryptocurrency in space exploration.

What determines the resolution of this market?

The market resolves based on whether the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launches successfully before the specified deadline. Any delays or cancellations will impact the odds.

How do updates affect the market odds?

Odds can change based on announcements from the mission's organizers, such as technical readiness or changes in launch schedules. News related to the broader space industry may also influence market sentiment.

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are December 31, 2027: 80.0¢ on Polymarket; June 30, 2027: 46.0¢ on Polymarket, 15.5¢ on Predict.fun; December 31, 2026: 5.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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