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Live prediction market odds for Ecuador vs. Mexico. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi

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Kalshi / Polymarket

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Ecuador vs. Mexico

World Cup·2026-06-30

Best price · tap to trade

Ecuador23¢4.35xPolymarketDraw3¢33.33xPolymarketMexico0¢Polymarket

About This Market

Traders give Ecuador about a 23.0% chance. Draw follows at 2.5% and Mexico follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 98.9 percentage points.

Traders give Ecuador about a 23.0% chance. Draw follows at 2.5% and Mexico follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 98.9 percentage points.

Ecuador vs. Mexico — FIFA World Cup game scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
E
Ecuador
23%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket23¢
Polymarket4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.0%22¢23¢77¢78¢
D
Draw
2%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket3¢
Polymarket38.46x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
M
Mexico
single venue
Kalshi100¢
—
Polymarket1000.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread98.9%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Ecuador

23.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Ecuador vs. Mexico

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Mexico wins the Mexico vs Ecuador professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Mexico vs Ecuador professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 30, 2026 If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Ecuador vs. Mexico prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Ecuador vs. Mexico odds?

The latest available prices are Ecuador: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 23.0¢ on Polymarket; Draw: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.5¢ on Polymarket; Mexico: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Ecuador vs. Mexico odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Ecuador vs. Mexico prediction market payouts work?

For example, Ecuador at 23.0¢ implies about a 23.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

No price history available