Traders give Parma Calcio about a 61.3% chance. Lecce follows at 55.0%, Venezia follows at 52.0%, and AC Monza follows at 47.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 9.0 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Serie A Relegation
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Udinese is relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
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This market will settle to Yes if Udinese Calcio is relegated from Serie A at the end of the 2026-2027 season. Outcome sourced from Serie A.
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the teams relegated from Serie A?
Teams are relegated based on their final position in the league standings at the end of the season. The bottom three teams are typically relegated to Serie B.
When does the Serie A season end?
The Serie A season typically concludes in late May or early June. The final standings are used to determine relegation before the July 1 resolution date.
How do team performances affect the odds in this market?
Odds fluctuate based on match results, injuries, and other developments affecting team performance. As teams win or lose matches, their likelihood of relegation changes, impacting market prices.
What does the Serie A Relegation prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Serie A Relegation odds?
The latest available prices are Parma Calcio: 61.0¢ on Kalshi, 61.5¢ on Polymarket US; Lecce: 50.5¢ on Kalshi, 59.5¢ on Polymarket US; Venezia: 48.5¢ on Kalshi, 55.5¢ on Polymarket US; AC Monza: 47.5¢ on Kalshi, 46.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.