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Live prediction market odds for Serie A Relegation. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US

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Serie A Relegation

2027-07-01

Best price · tap to trade

Parma Calcio66¢1.52xPolymarket USLecce55¢1.82xPolymarket USGenoa54¢1.85xPolymarket US
Compare all 8 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Parma Calcio about a 62.5% chance. Lecce follows at 55.5%, Genoa follows at 53.0%, and AC Monza follows at 45.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.5 percentage points.

Traders give Parma Calcio about a 62.5% chance. Lecce follows at 55.5%, Genoa follows at 53.0%, and AC Monza follows at 45.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.5 percentage points.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the Serie A Relegation event, which determines which teams will be relegated from Italy's top football league. The market resolves on July 1, 2027, based on the final standings of the league, with odds fluctuating due to team performances throughout the season.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Best price
PC
Parma Calcio
63%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US66¢
Polymarket US1.52x66¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
59.0%26¢96¢4¢74¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
66.0%65¢66¢34¢35¢
L
Lecce
56%
Kalshi95¢
Polymarket US55¢
Polymarket US1.82x55¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
57.0%19¢95¢5¢81¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
54.0%54¢55¢45¢46¢
G
Genoa
53%
Kalshi81¢
Polymarket US54¢
Polymarket US1.85x54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
52.5%24¢81¢19¢76¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
53.5%53¢54¢46¢47¢
AM
AC Monza
46%
Kalshi73¢
Polymarket US41¢
Polymarket US2.44x41¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
50.5%28¢73¢27¢72¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
40.5%40¢41¢59¢60¢
C
Cagliari
5%
Kalshi60¢
Polymarket US11¢
Polymarket US9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.0%0¢60¢40¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
10.5%10¢11¢89¢90¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket US

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread10.5%
Platforms2
Candidates8
Leader

Parma Calcio

62.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Serie A Relegation

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Udinese is relegated from Serie A in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if Udinese Calcio is relegated from Serie A at the end of the 2026-2027 season. Outcome sourced from Serie A.

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the teams relegated from Serie A?

Teams are relegated based on their final position in the league standings at the end of the season. The bottom three teams are typically relegated to Serie B.

When does the Serie A season end?

The Serie A season typically concludes in late May or early June. The final standings are used to determine relegation before the July 1 resolution date.

How do team performances affect the odds in this market?

Odds fluctuate based on match results, injuries, and other developments affecting team performance. As teams win or lose matches, their likelihood of relegation changes, impacting market prices.

What does the Serie A Relegation prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Serie A Relegation odds?

The latest available prices are Parma Calcio: 59.0¢ on Kalshi, 66.0¢ on Polymarket US; Lecce: 57.0¢ on Kalshi, 54.0¢ on Polymarket US; Genoa: 52.5¢ on Kalshi, 53.5¢ on Polymarket US; AC Monza: 50.5¢ on Kalshi, 40.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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