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Live prediction market odds for Dayana Yastremska vs. Sinja Kraus. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Dayana Yastremska vs. Sinja Kraus

WTA·2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Dayana Yastremska72¢1.39xKalshiSinja Kraus30¢3.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Dayana Yastremska about a 71.0% chance. Sinja Kraus follows at 29.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Dayana Yastremska about a 71.0% chance. Sinja Kraus follows at 29.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Dayana Yastremska and Sinja Kraus on October 4, 2026. The market resolves based on the winner of this specific match, with odds fluctuating based on player performance and pre-match analyses leading up to the event date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DY
Dayana Yastremska
71%
Kalshi72¢
Polymarket71¢
Kalshi1.39x72¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
72.0%71¢72¢28¢29¢
PolymarketPolymarket
70.0%70¢71¢29¢30¢
SK
Sinja Kraus
30%
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket30¢
Kalshi3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
29.5%29¢30¢70¢71¢
PolymarketPolymarket
30.0%29¢30¢70¢71¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Dayana Yastremska

71.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Dayana Yastremska vs. Sinja Kraus

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Dayana Yastremska wins the Kraus vs Yastremska professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Kraus vs Yastremska professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Dayana Yastremska in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Dayana Yastremska. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Sinja Kraus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the match between Dayana Yastremska and Sinja Kraus?

The match is scheduled for October 4, 2026. This date is crucial for market resolution.

How do odds change leading up to the match?

Odds may fluctuate based on player performance, injury reports, and expert analyses as the match date approaches. These factors can significantly impact market sentiment.

What determines the resolution of this market?

The market resolves based on which player wins the match. Any changes in player status or match conditions prior to the event can influence the odds.

What does the Dayana Yastremska vs. Sinja Kraus prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Dayana Yastremska vs. Sinja Kraus odds?

The latest available prices are Dayana Yastremska: 72.0¢ on Kalshi, 70.0¢ on Polymarket; Sinja Kraus: 29.5¢ on Kalshi, 30.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Dayana Yastremska

Smart Money Consensus$350
$350Dayana Yastremska
Smart Traders Split1
1Dayana Yastremska
KalshiBuy Yes at 72¢Best price among US-regulated venues.

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Dayana Yastremska$350 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow