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Live prediction market odds for Liudmila Samsonova vs. Karolina Muchova. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Liudmila Samsonova vs. Karolina Muchova

WTA·2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Karolina Muchova78¢1.28xKalshiLiudmila Samsonova23¢4.35xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Karolina Muchova about a 77.9% chance. Liudmila Samsonova follows at 23.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Karolina Muchova about a 77.9% chance. Liudmila Samsonova follows at 23.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Liudmila Samsonova and Karolina Muchova scheduled for October 4, 2026. The market resolves based on the winner of the match, with odds fluctuating based on player performance and pre-match analyses leading up to the event.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
KM
Karolina Muchova
78%
Kalshi78¢
Novig79¢
Polymarket78¢
ProphetX78¢
Kalshi1.28x78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
77.5%77¢78¢22¢23¢
NovigNovig
78.5%77¢79¢22¢23¢
PolymarketPolymarket
77.0%77¢78¢22¢23¢
ProphetXProphetX
78.5%76¢78¢22¢24¢
LS
Liudmila Samsonova
23%
Kalshi23¢
Novig23¢
Polymarket23¢
ProphetX24¢
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
22.5%22¢23¢77¢78¢
NovigNovig
23.0%22¢23¢77¢79¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.0%22¢23¢77¢78¢
ProphetXProphetX
23.8%22¢24¢76¢78¢
KalshiKalshiNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Karolina Muchova

77.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Liudmila Samsonova vs. Karolina Muchova

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Karolina Muchova wins the Muchova vs Samsonova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Muchova vs Samsonova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Karolina Muchova in Liudmila Samsonova @ Karolina Muchova Round of 32 (WTA); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Liudmila Samsonova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the match between Liudmila Samsonova and Karolina Muchova?

The match is scheduled for October 4, 2026. This date is critical for determining the resolution of the market.

How do odds change leading up to the match?

Odds fluctuate based on various factors including player performance, injuries, and expert analyses. These elements can significantly impact betting behavior on the platforms.

What determines the resolution of the market?

The market resolves based on the winner of the match. Only the official result at the conclusion of the match will determine the outcome.

What does the Liudmila Samsonova vs. Karolina Muchova prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Liudmila Samsonova vs. Karolina Muchova odds?

The latest available prices are Karolina Muchova: 77.5¢ on Kalshi, 77.0¢ on Polymarket, 78.5¢ on ProphetX, 78.5¢ on Novig; Liudmila Samsonova: 22.5¢ on Kalshi, 23.0¢ on Polymarket, 23.8¢ on ProphetX, 23.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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