If Paula Badosa wins the Semenistaja vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Semenistaja vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Paula Badosa in Paula Badosa @ Darja Semenistaja Round of 32 (WTA); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Paula Badosa in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Darja Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Darja Semenistaja vs Paula Badosa WTA match scheduled for September 14 at 4:30PM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from WTA.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja odds?

The latest available prices are Paula Badosa: 86.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.0¢ on Polymarket, 86.0¢ on Polymarket US, 85.5¢ on Novig; Darja Semenistaja: 15.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.0¢ on Polymarket, 14.0¢ on Polymarket US, 14.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 35.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja prediction market payouts work?

For example, Paula Badosa at 77.1¢ implies about a 77.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja

Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja

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Price History

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Frequently Asked Questions

Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja

Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja

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Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs. Kristina Novak

Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Ottawa Redblacks

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About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja

Frequently Asked Questions