If Nadia Podoroska wins the Podoroska vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Podoroska vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Semifinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Nadia Podoroska in Paula Badosa @ Nadia Podoroska Semifinals (WTA); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Nadia Podoroska and Paula Badosa in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Podoroska' if Nadia Podoroska advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Nadia Podoroska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa WTA match scheduled for September 19 at 1:30PM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from WTA.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Paula Badosa vs. Nadia Podoroska prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Paula Badosa vs. Nadia Podoroska odds?

The latest available prices are Nadia Podoroska: 77.5¢ on Kalshi, 53.0¢ on Polymarket, 67.1¢ on ProphetX, 73.0¢ on Polymarket US, 19.5¢ on Novig; Paula Badosa: 22.5¢ on Kalshi, 47.0¢ on Polymarket, 35.2¢ on ProphetX, 27.0¢ on Polymarket US, 81.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Paula Badosa vs. Nadia Podoroska odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 59.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Paula Badosa vs. Nadia Podoroska prediction market payouts work?

For example, Nadia Podoroska at 58.0¢ implies about a 58.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Paula Badosa vs. Nadia Podoroska

Paula Badosa vs. Nadia Podoroska

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Paula Badosa vs. Nadia Podoroska

Paula Badosa vs. Nadia Podoroska

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Price History

Live Markets

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Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Paula Badosa vs. Nadia Podoroska

Frequently Asked Questions