#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?
Live prediction market odds for #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give FRESH about a 91.0% chance. you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love follows at 8.0% and The Black Parade - My Chemical Romance follows at 1.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf The Black Parade is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
PolymarketBillboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of November 21, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
The #1 album is determined by a combination of sales, streaming, and radio airplay data. Billboard compiles this information weekly to create the chart.
The trading close date of November 16, 2026, marks the last opportunity for traders to place bets before the Billboard chart is published. Odds may fluctuate based on album releases and promotional activities leading up to this date.
No, the market will only resolve once the official Billboard chart is published on November 21, 2026. Until then, traders can speculate based on trends and predictions.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are FRESH: 91.0¢ on Kalshi; you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love: 8.0¢ on Kalshi; The Black Parade - My Chemical Romance: 3.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
