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What's coming up for the economy, and what people betting real money expect to happen.
Releases are grouped by week and shown in Eastern Time. Central bank decisions abroad are listed on their local announcement date. Each linked release opens a page with the forecast and how the odds have moved.
Prediction markets settle on the official figure, so a market on October CPI pays out against the number the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes, not against a forecast. That makes the price a direct read on what traders expect the release to show.
In the next seven days: October PPI (Friday, November 13, 2026), Freddie Mac weekly mortgage rates (Thursday, November 19, 2026). The calendar above shows the time of each release and the market's expected result.
The next FOMC rate decision is Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The one after that is Wednesday, January 27, 2027. The statement is released at 2:00 PM ET and the Chair's press conference follows at 2:30 PM ET.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the next Consumer Price Index report on Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. CPI is released at 8:30 AM ET, about two weeks after the month it covers ends.
The next Employment Situation report, with nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate, comes out Friday, December 4, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. It is usually the first Friday of the month at 8:30 AM ET.
It is the outcome traders currently rate most likely, with its implied probability. A contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens and trades at 31 cents implies a 31% chance. The figure is a consensus across the venues quoting it, so one stale quote on a thin venue does not move it.
From the prediction markets that list contracts on economic releases: Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Predict.fun. Each venue's own price links straight to its market, so you can compare them and trade wherever the price is best.
The economist consensus is one forecast number gathered before a release. A prediction market gives a probability for every possible result, and it reprices continuously as new data, speeches and other markets move. The two can disagree, and the gap is often the interesting part.
For information only. Not financial or investment advice. Prices come from the venues listed and can move quickly around a release; check each venue's resolution rules and availability in your state before trading.
Next up: fed decision, Wednesday Dec 9, 2:00 PM ET
Lower ratesNo changeRaise rates
On prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, people trade real money on what will happen. A contract at 60¢ pays $1 if the event happens, so the market sees about a 60% chance. We combine prices across markets into one forecast. These aren't our opinion or a survey of economists, and they change as people trade.
This week
Nov 9
Next week
Nov 16
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Dec 7
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Every release and decision in the next ten weeks. Open one to see the forecast and how it has changed.
54¢ 84¢ 
53¢ 
87¢ 82¢ 40¢ 71¢ 93¢ 94¢ 87¢ 65¢ Lower ratesNo changeRaise ratesGreen band: the likely range, with the expected number marked
Dec 14
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Jan 4
Markets expect a 95% chance the Fed raises rates on Dec 9. They see a 2% chance of a US recession in 2026, down from 37% this spring.