#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?
Live prediction market odds for #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Choosin' Texas about a 99.0% chance. All I Want For Christmas Is You follows at 3.0%, Babydoll follows at 1.0%, and BbY WOW follows at 1.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.4 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Patient Zero is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
PolymarketBillboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of November 21, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
The outcome is determined by the official Billboard Hot 100 chart published for the week of November 21, 2026. The song that ranks number one on that chart will resolve the market.
Odds fluctuate based on factors such as song popularity, streaming numbers, and radio airplay leading up to the chart release. Market participants analyze trends and data to make predictions.
Trading is scheduled to close on November 16, 2026. After this date, no further bets can be placed, and the market will await the Billboard chart results.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Choosin' Texas: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; All I Want For Christmas Is You: 3.0¢ on Kalshi; Babydoll: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; BbY WOW: 1.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
