2026 F1 Championship Final Driver Standings: 2nd Place Finisher
Live prediction market odds for 2026 F1 Championship Final Driver Standings: 2nd Place Finisher. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated
Traders give Max Verstappen about a 88.0% chance. George Russell follows at 13.9%, Lewis Hamilton follows at 13.3%, and Lando Norris follows at 1.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.5 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Max Verstappen finishes 2nd in the 2026 F1 Championship Final Driver Standings, then the market resolves to Yes. Finishing position is determined by the official FIA Formula One World Drivers’ Championship standings, after the FIA’s tiebreaking procedure has been applied. If two or more drivers are still tied for 2nd after all FIA tiebreakers, the market for each tied driver resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of drivers tied for that position. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 2nd in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for second place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine final positions in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to finish 2nd in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
The market resolves based on the official driver standings published after the final race of the 2026 F1 season. The driver who finishes in 2nd place will be the outcome that determines the market's result.
Odds fluctuate based on individual driver performances in each race leading up to the season finale. Factors such as race wins, podium finishes, and overall consistency impact market sentiment.
Trading is scheduled to close on December 6, 2026. This deadline is set before the final race, ensuring all bets are placed before the outcome is determined.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Max Verstappen: 86.0¢ on Kalshi, 90.0¢ on Polymarket; George Russell: 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 20.8¢ on Polymarket; Lewis Hamilton: 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 21.0¢ on Polymarket; Lando Norris: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.7¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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