2026 F1 Championship Final Driver Standings: 3rd Place Finisher
Live prediction market odds for 2026 F1 Championship Final Driver Standings: 3rd Place Finisher. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated
Traders give Lewis Hamilton about a 61.0% chance. George Russell follows at 54.0%, Lando Norris follows at 38.0%, and Max Verstappen follows at 36.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Max Verstappen finishes 3rd in the 2026 F1 Championship Final Driver Standings, then the market resolves to Yes. Finishing position is determined by the official FIA Formula One World Drivers’ Championship standings, after the FIA’s tiebreaking procedure has been applied. If two or more drivers are still tied for 3rd after all FIA tiebreakers, the market for each tied driver resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of drivers tied for that position. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 3rd in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for third place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine final positions in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to finish 3rd in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
The 3rd place finisher is determined by the total points accumulated throughout the season, based on race finishes. Points are awarded based on finishing positions in each race, and the final standings are published after the last race.
Odds can be influenced by driver performance in races, qualifying results, and any penalties or incidents that occur during the season. Additionally, team strategies and car developments can also impact drivers' standings.
Trading closes on December 6, 2026, which is the deadline for this market. However, the actual outcome is determined by the final race results, which may occur before this trading close.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Lewis Hamilton: 56.0¢ on Kalshi, 66.0¢ on Polymarket; George Russell: 50.0¢ on Kalshi, 58.0¢ on Polymarket; Lando Norris: 33.0¢ on Kalshi, 43.0¢ on Polymarket; Max Verstappen: 35.0¢ on Kalshi, 38.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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