Traders give Mexico about a 47.0% chance. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines follows at 35.0%, United States follows at 34.5%, and Suriname follows at 15.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 33.9 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup Champion
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If USA is the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What teams are eligible to compete in the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup?
National teams from North America, Central America, and the Caribbean are eligible to compete in the tournament. This includes teams from the CONCACAF region, which governs soccer in these areas.
How does the market determine the champion of the Gold Cup?
The market determines the champion based on the outcome of the tournament matches. The team that wins the final match of the Gold Cup is declared the champion.
What factors influence the odds for the Gold Cup Champion market?
Odds are influenced by team performances in qualifying matches, historical performance in the Gold Cup, and player injuries. Additionally, friendlies and other international competitions can impact market sentiment leading up to the tournament.
What does the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup Champion prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup Champion odds?
The latest available prices are Mexico: 47.5¢ on Kalshi, 46.5¢ on Polymarket; Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: 35.0¢ on Kalshi; United States: 38.0¢ on Kalshi, 31.0¢ on Polymarket; Suriname: 30.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.6¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.