Live prediction market odds for Aligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket.
Resolved 2028-01-01
This market resolved on 2028-01-01. $100M was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
$100MWINNER | 100% |
$20M | 100% |
$50M | 100% |
$1B | 0% |
$200M | 0% |
$300M | 0% |
$500M | 0% |
$800M | 0% |
$100M
99.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-04-01T16:57:40.077942778Z
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are $100M: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; $20M: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; $50M: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; $1B: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, $100M at 99.9¢ implies about a 99.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.
