Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for American League Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

American League Champion

2026-11-01

Best price · tap to trade

Tampa Bay Rays29¢3.45xKalshiNew York Yankees28¢3.57xKalshiCleveland Guardians23¢4.35xKalshi
Compare all 15 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Tampa Bay Rays about a 28.0% chance. New York Yankees follows at 26.5%, Cleveland Guardians follows at 22.2%, and Boston Red Sox follows at 10.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Traders give Tampa Bay Rays about a 28.0% chance. New York Yankees follows at 26.5%, Cleveland Guardians follows at 22.2%, and Boston Red Sox follows at 10.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the American League Champion event for the 2026 season. This championship will determine which team represents the American League in the World Series, impacting fan engagement and team investments leading up to the playoffs.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays
28%
Kalshi29¢
Polymarket28¢
Kalshi3.45x29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
29.0%28¢29¢71¢72¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.0%27¢28¢72¢73¢
New York YankeesNew York YankeesARB
27%
Kalshi28¢
Polymarket25¢
Kalshi3.57x28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
28.0%27¢28¢72¢73¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%24¢25¢75¢76¢
Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians
22%
Kalshi23¢
Polymarket23¢
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
22.5%22¢23¢77¢78¢
PolymarketPolymarket
21.9%21¢23¢77¢79¢
Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox
11%
Kalshi11¢
Polymarket12¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
11.0%10¢11¢89¢90¢
PolymarketPolymarket
10.2%10¢12¢88¢90¢
Houston AstrosHouston Astros
10%
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket11¢
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.0%9¢10¢90¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarket
10.3%10¢11¢89¢90¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
APESPNFox Sports
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclemlb.comConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms2
Candidates15
Leader

Tampa Bay Rays

28.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: American League Champion

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Boston win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
APESPNFox Sports
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclemlb.comConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the American League Champion?

Team performance during the regular season, player injuries, and trades significantly affect the odds. Additionally, historical performance and head-to-head matchups can sway market predictions.

How do prediction markets determine the favorite for the championship?

Prediction markets aggregate real-time betting data from participants, reflecting collective sentiment on team strengths and weaknesses. As the season progresses, odds adjust based on game outcomes and other relevant developments.

When is the American League Champion determined?

The American League Champion will be decided at the conclusion of the postseason, typically in late October or early November. The exact date may vary depending on the playoff schedule.

What does the American League Champion prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest American League Champion odds?

The latest available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 29.0¢ on Kalshi, 27.0¢ on Polymarket; New York Yankees: 28.0¢ on Kalshi, 25.0¢ on Polymarket; Cleveland Guardians: 22.5¢ on Kalshi, 21.9¢ on Polymarket; Boston Red Sox: 11.0¢ on Kalshi, 10.2¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

English Premier League Champion

View

George Staines vs. Loai Abushaar

View

São Paulo vs. Cruzeiro

View

Procyon Gaming vs. Gremio Esports

View

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (3:20 PM ET)

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Rays Clinch First AL Playoff Spot, Lead Pennant Market at 27%Tampa Bay's clinch triggered an 11pp surge to 27%, with Kalshi at 28% and Polymarket at 26%. The Yankees' 19-8 run since Aug. 16 and a remaining head-to-head series keep the race open.Sep 18, 2026
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily fading New York Yankees

Smart Money Consensus$2.4K
$2.4KNo
Smart Traders Split3
3No
KalshiBuy No at 73¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

New York Yankees
No$2.4K · 3 whales
Yes-$115 · 0 whales
Cleveland Guardians
Yes$131 · 1 whale
Boston Red Sox
No$649 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $1.7M lifetime bet $709 on No at 90¢

11h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $1.7M lifetime bet $596 on No at 76¢

11h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $1.7M lifetime bet $649 on No at 83¢

11h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $959K lifetime bet $1.6K on No at 75¢

14h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $199K lifetime bet $578 on No at 77¢

1d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Trade on Kalshi →