About This Market
Alex Bolt vs.
Alex Bolt vs. Fabian Marozsan: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-09-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Alex Bolt vs. Fabian Marozsan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

ATP·Resolved 2026-09-24
This market resolved on 2026-09-24. Fabian Marozsan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Alex Bolt vs.
Alex Bolt vs. Fabian Marozsan: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-09-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Fabian MarozsanWINNER | 79% | 99% | 100% |
Alex Bolt | 25% | 1% | 100% |
Fabian Marozsan
92.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Alex Bolt wins the Marozsan vs Bolt professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hangzhou Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Marozsan vs Bolt professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hangzhou Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Alex Bolt in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Alex Bolt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt ATP match scheduled for September 24 at 2:30AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from ATP.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Fabian Marozsan: 79.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Alex Bolt: 25.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Fabian Marozsan at 92.6¢ implies about a 92.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.