If Marco Trungelliti wins the Trungelliti vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Trungelliti vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Alex Molcan in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Alex Molcan vs. Marco Trungelliti prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Alex Molcan vs. Marco Trungelliti odds?

The latest available prices are Alex Molcan: 54.0¢ on Kalshi, 54.0¢ on Polymarket; Marco Trungelliti: 45.0¢ on Kalshi, 46.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Alex Molcan vs. Marco Trungelliti odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Alex Molcan vs. Marco Trungelliti prediction market payouts work?

For example, Alex Molcan at 54.0¢ implies about a 54.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Alex Molcan vs. Marco Trungelliti

Alex Molcan vs. Marco Trungelliti

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Alex Molcan vs. Marco Trungelliti

Alex Molcan vs. Marco Trungelliti

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

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Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Alex Molcan vs. Marco Trungelliti

Frequently Asked Questions

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