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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

Daniel Merida Wins: Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida

ATP·Resolved 2026-09-02

This market resolved on 2026-09-02. Daniel Merida was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

Andrey Rublev vs.

Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Daniel Merida wins the Merida vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Merida vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida odds?

The last available prices are Daniel Merida: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 97.9¢ on ProphetX; Andrey Rublev: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 5.5¢ on ProphetX. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 5.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida prediction market payouts work?

For example, Daniel Merida at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Daniel Merida Wins: Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida

About This Market

Price History

Daniel Merida Wins: Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida

About This Market

Price History

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Candidate
Daniel MeridaWINNER	100%	100%	98%
Andrey Rublev	1%	0%	6%

Daniel Merida Wins: Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida

About This Market

Price History

Daniel Merida Wins: Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida

About This Market

Price History

Related Markets

Xiaowei Li vs. Ha Eum Lee

Thomas Linley vs. Reiya Komagata

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Washington State Cougars

Junlu Sun vs. Yingqun Sun

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Xiaowei Li vs. Ha Eum Lee

Thomas Linley vs. Reiya Komagata

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Washington State Cougars

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Andrey Rublev vs. Daniel Merida

Frequently Asked Questions