If Arthur Gea wins the Machac vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Machac vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

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Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Arthur Gea in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac odds?

The latest available prices are Arthur Gea: 56.0¢ on Kalshi, 56.0¢ on Polymarket; Tomas Machac: 45.0¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac prediction market payouts work?

For example, Arthur Gea at 56.0¢ implies about a 56.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac

Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac

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Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac

Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Moneyline

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Arthur Gea vs. Tomas Machac

Frequently Asked Questions

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