About This Market
Carlos Alcaraz vs.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jaime Faria: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-09-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jaime Faria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

ATP·Resolved 2026-09-03
This market resolved on 2026-09-03. Carlos Alcaraz was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Carlos Alcaraz vs.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jaime Faria: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-09-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Carlos AlcarazWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Jaime Faria | 1% | 0% |
Carlos Alcaraz
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Carlos Alcaraz wins the Faria vs Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Faria vs Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Carlos Alcaraz: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Jaime Faria: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Carlos Alcaraz at 99.5¢ implies about a 99.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.