About This Market
Carlos Alcaraz vs.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Wu Yibing: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-09-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Wu Yibing
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Wu Yibing
Live prediction market odds for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Wu Yibing. Compare prices across .
ATP Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Sep 5, 2026. Carlos Alcaraz was the officially declared outcome.
Carlos Alcaraz vs.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Wu Yibing: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-09-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Carlos AlcarazWINNER | Yes |
Wu Yibing | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Carlos Alcaraz wins the Wu vs Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Wu vs Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Yibing Wu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz ATP match scheduled for September 4 at 11:00AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from ATP.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.