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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Daniil Medvedev Wins: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev

ATP·Resolved 2026-09-27

This market resolved on 2026-09-27. Daniil Medvedev was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Daniil Medvedev wins the Medvedev vs Wong professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hangzhou Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Medvedev vs Wong professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hangzhou Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Daniil Medvedev in Chak Lam Coleman Wong @ Daniil Medvedev Quarterfinals (ATP); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Coleman Wong in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Coleman Wong. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev odds?

The last available prices are Daniil Medvedev: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 74.7¢ on ProphetX, 78.5¢ on Novig; Chak Lam Coleman Wong: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 33.8¢ on ProphetX, 22.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 33.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction market payouts work?

For example, Daniil Medvedev at 88.2¢ implies about a 88.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
Daniil MedvedevWINNER	100%	79%	100%	75%
Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1%	23%	0%	34%

Daniil Medvedev Wins: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev Wins: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Daniil Medvedev Wins: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev Wins: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs. Daniil Medvedev

Frequently Asked Questions

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