About This Market
Daniil Medvedev vs.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Merida: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-10-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Merida
Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Merida
Live prediction market odds for Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Merida. Compare prices across .
ATP Listed Updated Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 27, 2026. Daniil Medvedev was the officially declared outcome.
Daniil Medvedev vs.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Merida: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-10-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Daniil MedvedevWINNER | Yes |
Daniel Merida | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Daniil Medvedev wins the Merida vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Merida vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigDaniil Medvedev in Daniil Medvedev @ Daniel Merida Aguilar Round of 32 (ATP); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
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For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.