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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Hubert Hurkacz Wins: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris

ATP·Resolved 2026-09-27

This market resolved on 2026-09-27. Hubert Hurkacz was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Lloyd Harris wins the Harris vs Hurkacz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Harris vs Hurkacz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Lloyd Harris in Hubert Hurkacz @ Lloyd Harris Quarterfinals (ATP); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Hubert Hurkacz in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Hubert Hurkacz. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Lloyd Harris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz ATP match scheduled for September 27 at 4:30AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from ATP.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris odds?

The last available prices are Hubert Hurkacz: 98.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 71.4¢ on ProphetX, 87.0¢ on Polymarket US, 61.5¢ on Novig; Lloyd Harris: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 42.5¢ on ProphetX, 13.0¢ on Polymarket US, 40.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 42.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris prediction market payouts work?

For example, Hubert Hurkacz at 83.7¢ implies about a 83.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
Hubert HurkaczWINNER	99%	87%	62%	100%	71%
Lloyd Harris	2%	13%	40%	0%	43%

Hubert Hurkacz Wins: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris

Hubert Hurkacz Wins: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Hubert Hurkacz Wins: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris

Hubert Hurkacz Wins: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Lloyd Harris

Frequently Asked Questions

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