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Live prediction market odds for Jake Delaney vs. Taro Daniel. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Taro Daniel Wins: Jake Delaney vs. Taro Daniel

ATP·Resolved 2026-09-22

This market resolved on 2026-09-22. Taro Daniel was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

Jake Delaney vs.

Jake Delaney vs. Taro Daniel: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-09-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final odds
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
Taro DanielWINNER
100%99%100%
Jake Delaney
1%1%0%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Winner

Taro Daniel

99.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Jake Delaney vs. Taro Daniel

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Taro Daniel wins the Daniel vs Delaney professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hangzhou Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Daniel vs Delaney professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hangzhou Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Taro Daniel and Jake Delaney in the Hangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Taro Daniel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Taro Daniel vs Jake Delaney ATP match scheduled for September 22 at 12:00AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from ATP.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Jake Delaney vs. Taro Daniel prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Jake Delaney vs. Taro Daniel odds?

The last available prices are Taro Daniel: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Jake Delaney: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Jake Delaney vs. Taro Daniel odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Jake Delaney vs. Taro Daniel prediction market payouts work?

For example, Taro Daniel at 99.5¢ implies about a 99.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.